Nate Cohn
👤 SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
So people are dissatisfied with Trump.
They may now be open to the Democrats should the Democrats be able to put forward a message that convinces them to support them.
But they haven't yet turned toward the Democrats in the same way, by the way, that voters did turn towards the Republicans during the Biden era in no small part because Trump had credibility on these issues already.
It's also worth noting that in the poll, more people blame Joe Biden for our biggest economic problems still than Donald Trump.
And this may be really counterintuitive, but when we asked people how well the economy is doing, more people say the economy is doing well than at any other point in our polling since the pandemic.
So even as they disapprove of how Trump is handling the economy, people do seem to gradually be feeling better about the economy over the last year and over the last few years.
Now, it may mostly be Republicans coming around to the Trump economy, but the proportion of voters who say the economy is good or excellent has gone up seven points since the election.
And it's gone up a lot more than that since, say, 2022, when inflation was peaking.
There's a steady long term trend where people think the economy is doing a little better.
I'm going to take a shot at it, and I'm not sure I will fully be able to do that.
But I think the story is voters thought Joe Biden was a complete catastrophe on the economy.
Views of his presidency and the economy really bottled out in 2022 as a result of that.
Voters still look back today and say what happened then, that's the biggest reason why things are bad now, is the stuff that happened when Joe Biden was president.
And as we get further and further from 2021 and 2022, people are gradually reevaluating the state of the economy upward as we move away from that post-pandemic upheaval.
Still have a long way to go.
And they don't even think Trump is helping here.