Nate Cohn
👤 SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
And so families are often being put in a position where if things get harder, they may just simply not be able to do it.
You simply may not be able to have a home.
You may not be able to send your kid to college or that's how it feels.
It means that even though incomes have kept up with inflation, it's probably the case that more people have had to compromise on their life goals or stare down the possibility of compromising on their life goals.
Well, it's definitely a bright spot for Democrats.
It creates an opening for them.
They're going to do well in all likelihood in the midterm elections, which historically are basically just an up or down referendum on the party in power.
So people are upset at Trump.
The Democrats are going to do well this November.
Looking farther down the line, say, to 2028, there's a new opportunity for Democrats to try and capitalize on these issues.
But it's worth noting that they don't enter with much credibility on affordability either.
It's not obvious to me that they are teed up to fare exceptionally well or as well as you might guess, given the president's approval rating.
They have their work cut out for them.
So we didn't ask them in the poll, but I think it's worth...
juxtaposing two different findings that the poll had.
One was that we asked people whether they'll vote for Democrats or Republicans in the midterm election.
And Democrats led by five among registered voters.
It's quite a bit better than ahead of the 2024 election when the Republicans, as you know, won the popular vote, not only for the presidency, but also for the House of Representatives.
On the other hand, we ask people whether they see themselves as Democrats or Republicans.
And more people still consider themselves Republicans than Democrats.