Nate Cohn

So, again, young voters often stay home in elections.

It would not surprise me to see many young voters stay home in this year's midterm election as well.

But the young voters who do turn up, I would expect to be very supportive of Democratic candidates for Congress based on this poll.

Yep.

And maybe it's worth putting a finer point on what that would mean.

It would easily allow the Democrats to retake the House despite the Republican efforts to redraw congressional maps to their favor in much of the country.

And it would also have a real chance to put the Senate into play, even though to flip the Senate, the Democrats would need to win some very Republican states.

You got it.

Now, it's important to note that just because young and nonwhite voters are going to support Democrats by a wide margin in midterm election doesn't mean that they're now loyal Democrats.

In fact, many of these voters don't identify as Democrats or say they're dissatisfied with the Democrats.

And I think one of the most interesting parts of the poll is how it shows the extent of deep divisions within both of the parties right now.

And those divisions will do a lot to shape the direction of the two parties heading into the next presidential election.

I thought the poll was pretty clarifying on what divides Democrats and maybe more importantly, what really doesn't.

You know, in the elite discourse since Kamala Harris's defeat in 2024, Democratic wonks and activists and policymakers have been arguing about whether the Democrats should move toward the center or embrace a more progressive left-wing kind of politics.

Right.

But the poll didn't really show a ton of dissatisfaction on ideological lines.

That's interesting.

Democrats basically thought that

They were OK with where the party was.

A majority of Democrats say that the party is not too far to the left or too far to the center.