Nate Silver
speaker
353 appearances
7 recordings
2 series
first heard Sep 2026
last heard 2d ago
Nate Silver’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
Trend
recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 7 in all, peaking in Sep 2026 with 7.
Appearances
Strict Scrutiny · Still Counting: Trump vs. The BLUE WAVE: A Midterm Extravaganza · 11 Sep 2026
podcast
If he weren't to win, then it means the polls were way off again.
race that
Of course.
Is this right?
Michigan.
Abdul El-Sayed leads by roughly two points in the Silver Bulletin polling average.
Does not include, by the way, a new Glenn Gariff poll, I don't think, that came out last night after a publication deadline that might cut it down to one or one and a half.
Look, we've talked a lot about Michigan.
If you haven't listened to any of the preview episodes... We were on
America talking
the basic lay of the land is something like this michigan is about as purple as it gets it almost exactly follows the national trend um the national trend this year is around d plus seven meaning in the average state if you count up all the votes for all 435 house races you'd expect democrats to win by about seven michigan therefore is also about a plus seven the question is
Can El-Sayed be a quote-unquote bad enough candidate?
I'll explain what I mean by that, right?
Or Mike Rogers a quote-unquote good enough candidate to overcome that seven-point spread?
Now, there are different ways to define bad candidate.
When a certain type of election nerd like me means that, it just means they're –
likely to underperform the baseline.
It doesn't mean they're a bad person.
It doesn't mean that
or, yeah.
Showing 281–300 of 353 · page 15 of 18
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