Nate Silver
speaker
344 appearances
6 recordings
2 series
first heard Sep 2026
last heard 5d ago
Nate Silver’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
Trend
recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 6 in all, peaking in Sep 2026 with 6.
Appearances
Um one is that we've started to get more polls among likely voters and not just
Registered voters.
And that matters because turnout is relatively low in midterms, higher than it used to be.
But as our models been adjusting to those, earlier in the cycle it felt like there was a bigger, didn't feel like I guess I don't know if it has feelings.
I guess we use AI, right?
Maybe maybe it's anthropomorphizing models, Nate.
It's
I used to be an anti-anthropomorphizer, and now now it's just easier to say, oh, the model thinks.
Anyway, um, you know, as we've gotten more
More generic pat ballot polls among likely voters.
They don't show quite as much of an enthusiasm gap.
I mean, I'm being too technical.
Because it was trying
The Claude Opuses were kind of weird, right?
They would like they'd be quite stubborn and lazy.
What is a
Here's the summary version, right?
As we get closer to the election, I think you see like a little bit of a rebound in Republican enthusiasm.
It's having a marginal effect on the numbers and some of these kind of less polled races in the in the generic ballot.
Um look, Trump's approval rating is 38% or so, his disapproval rating is 58, 59%.
Showing 61–80 of 344 · page 4 of 18
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