Nate Silver

speaker
353 appearances 7 recordings 2 series first heard Sep 2026 last heard yesterday

Nate Silver’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months
7 · Sep OctJan 26AprJulnow

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 7 in all, peaking in Sep 2026 with 7.

Appearances

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Harris only he only won the whole thing by one and a half point, right?
So North Carolina actually moved
Toward the tipping point.
It was one of the few positives out of Kamala Harris's night in November twenty twenty four was that North Carolina actually became more purple and Cooper's a strong candidate.
He's the former governor.
If he weren't to win, then it means the polls were way out we're off we're way off again.
Right.
Of course.
Is this right?
Michigan.
Michigan.
Um Abdul El Sayyed leads by roughly two points in the silver bulletin polling average.
Does not include, by the way, a new Glenn Gareth poll I don't think that came out last night after a publication deadline that might cut it down to one or one and a half.
Look, we've talked a lot about Michigan.
If you haven't listened to any of the previous episodes, Well we were on
The basic lay of the land is something like this.
Michigan is about as purple as it gets.
It almost exactly follows the national trend.
Um the national trend this year is around D plus seven, meaning in the average state, if you count up all the votes for all 435 house races, you'd expect Democrats to win by about seven.
Michigan, therefore, is also about a plus seven.
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