Nate Silver

Yeah, and 50 in 2012, because it's just kind of dumb luck, basically, right?

Yeah, and 50 in 2012, because it's just kind of dumb luck, basically, right?

Okay, look, who's going to win Alabama in 2020?

Okay, look, who's going to win Alabama in 2020?

Okay, look, who's going to win Alabama in 2020?

But those others, man, they're kind of all over the map. Yeah, so maybe one or two, your model's a little better, right? But then you just kind of win a couple of coin flips.

But those others, man, they're kind of all over the map. Yeah, so maybe one or two, your model's a little better, right? But then you just kind of win a couple of coin flips.

But those others, man, they're kind of all over the map. Yeah, so maybe one or two, your model's a little better, right? But then you just kind of win a couple of coin flips.

I just had an anxiety dream about the New York Times the other night. I just flew back from Korea. So you have this like really long period of REM sleep or their little nested universe within your dreams and stuff like that. And I had some anxiety. They were like, before we let you write the Times, you have to prove your chops as a traditional reporter.

I just had an anxiety dream about the New York Times the other night. I just flew back from Korea. So you have this like really long period of REM sleep or their little nested universe within your dreams and stuff like that. And I had some anxiety. They were like, before we let you write the Times, you have to prove your chops as a traditional reporter.

I just had an anxiety dream about the New York Times the other night. I just flew back from Korea. So you have this like really long period of REM sleep or their little nested universe within your dreams and stuff like that. And I had some anxiety. They were like, before we let you write the Times, you have to prove your chops as a traditional reporter.

And they had some very complicated story with some blind person. I didn't know.

And they had some very complicated story with some blind person. I didn't know.

And they had some very complicated story with some blind person. I didn't know.

Stay within the boundaries. There are brilliant people in the New York Times. At the time I was there, it's 2010 to 2013. It's transitioning from being this dinosaur-like print media business to what's now, I think, a very well-run company. mostly digital.

Stay within the boundaries. There are brilliant people in the New York Times. At the time I was there, it's 2010 to 2013. It's transitioning from being this dinosaur-like print media business to what's now, I think, a very well-run company. mostly digital.

Stay within the boundaries. There are brilliant people in the New York Times. At the time I was there, it's 2010 to 2013. It's transitioning from being this dinosaur-like print media business to what's now, I think, a very well-run company. mostly digital.

Yeah. And the vulnerable points in history, 538 is quite successful there. This is when they actually are getting like a whole bunch of new subscribers for the digital product. But then you kind of run into egos mixed with kind of personnel turnover. There's a new CEO. It's a cliche, right? When they bring in the new guy and the project was the old guy's project...

Yeah. And the vulnerable points in history, 538 is quite successful there. This is when they actually are getting like a whole bunch of new subscribers for the digital product. But then you kind of run into egos mixed with kind of personnel turnover. There's a new CEO. It's a cliche, right? When they bring in the new guy and the project was the old guy's project...

Yeah. And the vulnerable points in history, 538 is quite successful there. This is when they actually are getting like a whole bunch of new subscribers for the digital product. But then you kind of run into egos mixed with kind of personnel turnover. There's a new CEO. It's a cliche, right? When they bring in the new guy and the project was the old guy's project...