Nate Silver
๐ค SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
So a new guy comes in. Meanwhile, at the time, the New York Times newsroom, the traditional political reporters... Kind of hate our guts because that election in particular, 2012 was a very fucking boring election. It was Romney and Obama and maybe that's better. They're both relatively competent people, but not a whole lot is changing or moving. They're well-known candidates.
So a new guy comes in. Meanwhile, at the time, the New York Times newsroom, the traditional political reporters... Kind of hate our guts because that election in particular, 2012 was a very fucking boring election. It was Romney and Obama and maybe that's better. They're both relatively competent people, but not a whole lot is changing or moving. They're well-known candidates.
So a new guy comes in. Meanwhile, at the time, the New York Times newsroom, the traditional political reporters... Kind of hate our guts because that election in particular, 2012 was a very fucking boring election. It was Romney and Obama and maybe that's better. They're both relatively competent people, but not a whole lot is changing or moving. They're well-known candidates.
And so a lot of what the blog was doing, FiveThirtyEight, was saying, yeah, this movement in the polls, it's all kind of fake and nothing's really changing, right? Which is kind of against what their reporters want you to say, where it's drama unfolding and game changing. I don't know.
And so a lot of what the blog was doing, FiveThirtyEight, was saying, yeah, this movement in the polls, it's all kind of fake and nothing's really changing, right? Which is kind of against what their reporters want you to say, where it's drama unfolding and game changing. I don't know.
And so a lot of what the blog was doing, FiveThirtyEight, was saying, yeah, this movement in the polls, it's all kind of fake and nothing's really changing, right? Which is kind of against what their reporters want you to say, where it's drama unfolding and game changing. I don't know.
Once you start testing the market, eventually there were other offers that let me try to build FiveThirtyEight into a larger thing. Whether that was successful or not, we can...
Once you start testing the market, eventually there were other offers that let me try to build FiveThirtyEight into a larger thing. Whether that was successful or not, we can...
Once you start testing the market, eventually there were other offers that let me try to build FiveThirtyEight into a larger thing. Whether that was successful or not, we can...
I think the Times is not used to people turning them down very much. And I actually still freelance at the Times occasionally, right? We're in a relationship now. It took 10 years to repair.
I think the Times is not used to people turning them down very much. And I actually still freelance at the Times occasionally, right? We're in a relationship now. It took 10 years to repair.
I think the Times is not used to people turning them down very much. And I actually still freelance at the Times occasionally, right? We're in a relationship now. It took 10 years to repair.
And the point was that the gut wasn't very valuable, but now I'm going to pretend that my gut was crushing instead.
And the point was that the gut wasn't very valuable, but now I'm going to pretend that my gut was crushing instead.
And the point was that the gut wasn't very valuable, but now I'm going to pretend that my gut was crushing instead.
But no, so now I have a good relationship with them instead, but they weren't used to being turned down. And the cliche was that if you turn down the times, then your career is over, which isn't really true anymore. You've had a lot of X times people start sub stacks or have other success elsewhere.
But no, so now I have a good relationship with them instead, but they weren't used to being turned down. And the cliche was that if you turn down the times, then your career is over, which isn't really true anymore. You've had a lot of X times people start sub stacks or have other success elsewhere.
But no, so now I have a good relationship with them instead, but they weren't used to being turned down. And the cliche was that if you turn down the times, then your career is over, which isn't really true anymore. You've had a lot of X times people start sub stacks or have other success elsewhere.
I think 2016 was actually our best election.
I think 2016 was actually our best election.