Nate Silver
speaker
1,377 appearances
5 recordings
5 series
first heard Feb 2025
last heard 29 Jun
Nate Silver’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 3 in all, peaking in Jun 2026 with 2.
Appearances
My model surprised me sometimes.
But like, look, we've been through a lot of elections that are inherently hard to forecast.
The House is the one where everything kind of points in the same direction.
Democrats are facing a very unpopular president.
An economy that voters have a lot of anxiety about.
Trump, no new Middle Eastern wars.
On top of that, the very, very long history of the president's party drawing a backlash and performing poorly at the midterms.
The more recent history of incumbent backlash in the U.S.
and all around the world.
The good results Democrats in like New Jersey and Virginia last year and special elections.
You know, look...
The redistricting thing helps the GOP a little bit in the end, but you're fighting against a lot of gravity.
Whereas the Senate is more of a numbers game.
Even in a pretty blue environment, Democrats have to win some seats in red states.
It seems to me that taking a big risk in Maine...
which is a state that by all rights, they ought to win in a D plus eight year and a D plus 10 state.
But Graham Platner is only two points ahead of Susan Collins.
I think I take that polling at face value.
I think he is.
I take him at 50 50, but like that's a unnecessary risk potentially.
Showing 401–420 of 1,377 · page 21 of 69
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