Nate Silver
speaker
1,377 appearances
5 recordings
5 series
first heard Feb 2025
last heard 29 Jun
Nate Silver’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
Trend
recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 3 in all, peaking in Jun 2026 with 2.
Appearances
But look,
The GOP will be able to, in these red states, a candidate like Tallarico, who is also probably in roughly a toss-up race, and Paxton is a far less than ideal Republican nominee.
Like, partisanship is still a powerful force.
People are saying, why are they kind of attacking Tallarico on, I think, things that are not above board, you know, critiquing his sexuality or whatever else.
Well, it's because Texas is like a really red state.
Like, Trump's not popular, so you're like...
You're kind of going for like the lowest common denominator, but in our system that works a fair amount of the time.
So just a polling and math and numbers game in the Senate, we're going to see more money spent than ever.
Whereas the House, 435 seats, I think the partisan gravity is more likely than not just too much for Trump to overcome.
If he can get gas prices down, it's such a visible indicator.
You drive by the Chevron station, whatever else, right?
You literally see it.
You know, I think if you look at forecasts, there is supposed to be some
abatement, but very contingent on how long the conflict war in Iran persists in this quagmire.
You know, look, maybe if we maybe if we have a H.E.I.
right by by in October or something, who knows what happens then?
But no, it's
his unfavorable ratings are very entrenched and Democrats are very enthusiastic, despite their misgivings about their own party.
And as much difficulty as I think they'll have in 2028, nominating a candidate to vote for your generic Democrat against a generic Republican is a pretty easy ask for, for Democrats who feel like democracy on the line.
And like, and like, so I think that's fairly baked in as someone who builds models.
Showing 421–440 of 1,377 · page 22 of 69
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