Nate Silver

under stress a trader will have higher spikes in testosterone and dopamine and things like that that's okay because it means that your body is reacting to stress when you learn in poker i'm not going to feel the same playing a ten thousand dollar pot as in a five dollar pot in my beer league game on tuesday night learning like okay i can start to master that or at least fuck up less than other people yeah when you learn that then that becomes kind of powerful

under stress a trader will have higher spikes in testosterone and dopamine and things like that that's okay because it means that your body is reacting to stress when you learn in poker i'm not going to feel the same playing a ten thousand dollar pot as in a five dollar pot in my beer league game on tuesday night learning like okay i can start to master that or at least fuck up less than other people yeah when you learn that then that becomes kind of powerful

In some ways, Peter Thiel is the most curious one of the bunch, because A, most is guys, and there are lots of women in the book too, but it's heavily more men than women.

In some ways, Peter Thiel is the most curious one of the bunch, because A, most is guys, and there are lots of women in the book too, but it's heavily more men than women.

In some ways, Peter Thiel is the most curious one of the bunch, because A, most is guys, and there are lots of women in the book too, but it's heavily more men than women.

testosterone and ego and entitlement and who is afforded the privilege of gambling in a probabilistic way. So he is someone who's known as being quite risk averse. He wanted to sell PayPal early on and protect his downside. He's also quite religious.

testosterone and ego and entitlement and who is afforded the privilege of gambling in a probabilistic way. So he is someone who's known as being quite risk averse. He wanted to sell PayPal early on and protect his downside. He's also quite religious.

testosterone and ego and entitlement and who is afforded the privilege of gambling in a probabilistic way. So he is someone who's known as being quite risk averse. He wanted to sell PayPal early on and protect his downside. He's also quite religious.

He is a very literate intellectual in a way that Elon Musk is brilliant in many ways. He kind of has like a 12 year old's mindset. Whereas Thiel, he's quoting from scripture and philosophy.

He is a very literate intellectual in a way that Elon Musk is brilliant in many ways. He kind of has like a 12 year old's mindset. Whereas Thiel, he's quoting from scripture and philosophy.

He is a very literate intellectual in a way that Elon Musk is brilliant in many ways. He kind of has like a 12 year old's mindset. Whereas Thiel, he's quoting from scripture and philosophy.

Yeah, and he was like, okay, well, Nate, 10 years ago, all this moneyball shit was the frontier, but now it's all been internalized. And now a contrarian thing is actually to trust your gut more because all the nerds have taken over everything. And so there's no alpha, it would be the trading term, from just running the models that everyone else has.

Yeah, and he was like, okay, well, Nate, 10 years ago, all this moneyball shit was the frontier, but now it's all been internalized. And now a contrarian thing is actually to trust your gut more because all the nerds have taken over everything. And so there's no alpha, it would be the trading term, from just running the models that everyone else has.

Yeah, and he was like, okay, well, Nate, 10 years ago, all this moneyball shit was the frontier, but now it's all been internalized. And now a contrarian thing is actually to trust your gut more because all the nerds have taken over everything. And so there's no alpha, it would be the trading term, from just running the models that everyone else has.

I think it's probably fairly close to being true. But he was an early adopter of Trump in 2016. He kind of will say that, oh, I thought it was a good contrarian bet that maybe the odds are 50%, not an age 30%, and definitely not the conventional wisdom of 10%. I think Trump probably matches a lot of his political leanings anyway.

I think it's probably fairly close to being true. But he was an early adopter of Trump in 2016. He kind of will say that, oh, I thought it was a good contrarian bet that maybe the odds are 50%, not an age 30%, and definitely not the conventional wisdom of 10%. I think Trump probably matches a lot of his political leanings anyway.

I think it's probably fairly close to being true. But he was an early adopter of Trump in 2016. He kind of will say that, oh, I thought it was a good contrarian bet that maybe the odds are 50%, not an age 30%, and definitely not the conventional wisdom of 10%. I think Trump probably matches a lot of his political leanings anyway.

But you have to give him some credit for understanding that Silicon Valley's interests... And the progressive interest would clash in lots of different ways. Silicon Valley would come under scrutiny for lots of good and bad reasons. What are the effects of cell phones and social media? What are the effects of very powerful people owning individual media brands? Or all the satellites orbiting.

But you have to give him some credit for understanding that Silicon Valley's interests... And the progressive interest would clash in lots of different ways. Silicon Valley would come under scrutiny for lots of good and bad reasons. What are the effects of cell phones and social media? What are the effects of very powerful people owning individual media brands? Or all the satellites orbiting.

But you have to give him some credit for understanding that Silicon Valley's interests... And the progressive interest would clash in lots of different ways. Silicon Valley would come under scrutiny for lots of good and bad reasons. What are the effects of cell phones and social media? What are the effects of very powerful people owning individual media brands? Or all the satellites orbiting.