Nate Silver

People make the mistake of assuming that things just kind of trend linearly upward forever, right? And the world's a story more or less of mean reversion. There is a broad-based conservative backlash on cultural issues.

It might be peaking right about now.

It might be peaking right about now.

It might be peaking right about now.

You don't. You're looking at the polls. For better or worse, we're just looking at the polls and economic data and not trying to answer the why questions as much. We kind of leave that up to the... pundits, I suppose. The They Them ad is partly about wokeness, but also about other things, right? It's about taxpayer money. It's about Kamala Harris seeming kind of out of touch in different ways.

You don't. You're looking at the polls. For better or worse, we're just looking at the polls and economic data and not trying to answer the why questions as much. We kind of leave that up to the... pundits, I suppose. The They Them ad is partly about wokeness, but also about other things, right? It's about taxpayer money. It's about Kamala Harris seeming kind of out of touch in different ways.

You don't. You're looking at the polls. For better or worse, we're just looking at the polls and economic data and not trying to answer the why questions as much. We kind of leave that up to the... pundits, I suppose. The They Them ad is partly about wokeness, but also about other things, right? It's about taxpayer money. It's about Kamala Harris seeming kind of out of touch in different ways.

It's about illegal, undocumented immigration. It's about flip-flopping. It might be the most played ad in TV history because it's about more than one thing. Republicans tried to run on transgender rights in 2022 at the midterm, didn't have that much success with it. I voted for Harris, full disclosure. I didn't think it was that close. I did too.

It's about illegal, undocumented immigration. It's about flip-flopping. It might be the most played ad in TV history because it's about more than one thing. Republicans tried to run on transgender rights in 2022 at the midterm, didn't have that much success with it. I voted for Harris, full disclosure. I didn't think it was that close. I did too.

It's about illegal, undocumented immigration. It's about flip-flopping. It might be the most played ad in TV history because it's about more than one thing. Republicans tried to run on transgender rights in 2022 at the midterm, didn't have that much success with it. I voted for Harris, full disclosure. I didn't think it was that close. I did too.

Yeah, people need to be able to have a healthy degree of skepticism without going off the deep end. This seems to be very hard for people. If partisanship is a drug, it's a cliche.

Yeah, people need to be able to have a healthy degree of skepticism without going off the deep end. This seems to be very hard for people. If partisanship is a drug, it's a cliche.

Yeah, people need to be able to have a healthy degree of skepticism without going off the deep end. This seems to be very hard for people. If partisanship is a drug, it's a cliche.

This is still like an ongoing. Yeah. We're in the middle of it. Right. So it's not even like recriminations. Exactly. And how that started just instantly. It immediately was political. You just won this election. You're going to gain a lot of power and you get nice little revenge against the left. But just chill out.

This is still like an ongoing. Yeah. We're in the middle of it. Right. So it's not even like recriminations. Exactly. And how that started just instantly. It immediately was political. You just won this election. You're going to gain a lot of power and you get nice little revenge against the left. But just chill out.

This is still like an ongoing. Yeah. We're in the middle of it. Right. So it's not even like recriminations. Exactly. And how that started just instantly. It immediately was political. You just won this election. You're going to gain a lot of power and you get nice little revenge against the left. But just chill out.

It's like the chill to chill ratio. I had some concept I'm workshopping. In the short run, chill kind of works. People are called to action and alarmed. And I kind of go back to September 11th and the patriotism phase. And that works in the short run, right? But a lot of people get tired of it. There are good...

It's like the chill to chill ratio. I had some concept I'm workshopping. In the short run, chill kind of works. People are called to action and alarmed. And I kind of go back to September 11th and the patriotism phase. And that works in the short run, right? But a lot of people get tired of it. There are good...

It's like the chill to chill ratio. I had some concept I'm workshopping. In the short run, chill kind of works. People are called to action and alarmed. And I kind of go back to September 11th and the patriotism phase. And that works in the short run, right? But a lot of people get tired of it. There are good...

You can make everything from controlled burning practices in California to the expense of various public services to the fact that if there is climate change, then needing to be more realistic and prepare for the type of housing that you're building in vulnerable areas. But instead, it turns out as something about DEI and the lesbian. Oh, yeah.