Niall Ferguson

Yes.

And I'm really hoping, I've never seen a greater case for greater ROI

then limited, whatever you want to call it, strikes on civilian suppression centers and kind of tip over the regime, if you will.

Regime alteration.

That's what we have to hope is coming.

It will transform the security of the Middle East.

It will transform life for Iranians.

And I believe it will be a huge contribution towards a peaceful end to Cold War II because it will signal...

that whatever Chinese project produced the relationships with Russia, Iran, and North Korea was not a realistic geopolitical project.

That's my hope.

What do you think the chances are that the regime holds if there is an intervention, a coordinated intervention, say U.S.

and Israel, whatever it might be, intelligence, limited strikes,

What do you think is the likelihood that the regime survives without Western military intervention?

Very high indeed, like 90%, because they've crushed the protests brutally.

And the regime's repressive apparatus showed no sign of cracking.

So if there's no intervention, that regime lasts.

I mean, it's like the Soviets had a little bit of a revolt in 1962.

They utterly crushed it.

1962 was pretty early in the Cold War, in fact, a dangerous time in the Cold War.

So, no, if we want to get rid of the Islamic Republic, which has been a source of mischief and mayhem and murder since 1979, President Trump has to do what I think he is going to do.