Nick Bloom
๐ค SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
I think the future is a lot of hybrid.
So a lot of folks going in, say, three days a week, working at home for two, probably less fully remote and probably as much fully in person as we've ever had.
I just don't see this kind of Dilbert-esque mass ranks of cubicles out in the suburbs coming back.
What I do see is nice offices in city centers, you know, shiny glass windows, gyms, maybe canteens.
This stuff is alive and kicking.
That battle bus claiming more money for the NHS, that was completely wrong.
Look, if you told the British electorate, hey, you know what, you can vote for Brexit, you know, it's going to cost you ยฃ2,000 a year, but you want less immigrants and you want, yeah, I don't know, cheaper housing because there's less people around, you can have it.
The problem is that was never what was promised.
There was promised more spending on the NHS, which has basically turned out to be an absolute lie.
This is an enormous loss of money.
Yeah, so basically there's a top-down and a bottom-up approach.
So the top-down is to compare the UK to the EU 27, so 27 countries in the EU, plus six others, so US, Canada, Japan, Iceland, Norway, and I can't remember, but there's 33 countries in total.
And what we do is we show quite clearly that if you compare the UK to those 33 other countries, it tracks very closely on GDP for 10 years running up to the Brexit vote.
So you do the average of the other 33.
You do the UK and those two lines line almost on top of each other.
Then the Brexit vote happens in 2016, and the UK line starts to slow down.
And you can see this gap opening up.
And that gap opens up year by year.
So 10 years later, by 2026, the UK is about 8% below the average of all the other 33 countries.