Nick Bostrom

And in that sense, kind of being infinitely far removed from a lot of the traditional conceptions of God, which is like a literally infinite and omnipotent and omniscient being.

So I think that whatever the truth is about the simulation hypothesis, it wouldn't settle the question of whether there is this kind of more traditionally conceived, literally infinite God.

There you go.

Yeah, it's a good question.

I think compute is

a very important factor in driving AI progress over the last eight years or so with the whole deep learning revolution.

I think it's maybe two-thirds of the progress we've seen is due to we are applying more compute, and then maybe one-third is algorithmic progress.

Even if it were all compute, though, it doesn't necessarily follow that we would be able to, with our current compute, run at least a small fraction of a human-level mind.

Because there are two things you need the compute for.

One is to run the AI, right?

Like to actually have it do.

But you also need to train up the neural network that becomes the AI.

So if you don't have enough compute to do the full training run,

you might not even be able to develop the system, which then, if run, would constitute some kind of human equivalent level AGI.

So for humans to arrive at some sort of normal adult level of AGI,

performance.

We need 20 years or 15 years to grow up and learn.

And our current neural networks are similar in that, although they are probably less efficient in learning.

So they might need, instead of 15 years of experience, maybe they need 1,000 years equivalent.

But you still need a lot of compute just to be able to complete something analogous to a human maturation process.