Nikhyl Singhal

speaker

864 appearances 1 recordings 1 series first heard Apr 2026 last heard 19 Apr

Nikhyl Singhal’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Apr 2026 with 1.

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Lenny's Podcast: Product | Career | Growth · Why half of product managers are in trouble | Nikhyl Singhal (Meta, Google) · 19 Apr 2026 podcast

We were talking about ICs, we were talking about hands-on, we were talking about opinion, even back then before, you know, Claude and Chapa GPT and others kind of came, came out.

I think what we're now seeing is companies are looking very, very, um, carefully at their staffing and they're asking themselves, one, do we need this many people?

Did we over hire?

And part of the reason is they're looking, Hey, maybe we doubled our staff in the last five years.

Lots of companies that are public about them.

Do we get twice as much for them?

You know, it was funny when I was at Google over 10, 15 years ago, we used to ask ourselves, you know, I was on an ancillary team.

I wasn't in the search or the ads team.

We used to ask ourselves, like, how many people are really needed for Google to hit their numbers?

And, you know, there were back at the time, 20, 30, 40,000 people.

And, you know, if you ask someone who wasn't in tech, you're like, oh, probably like 90% of those folks, obviously.

And, you know, the answer is probably closer to like 9%.

You know, probably you need like 500 people to keep the lights on and to build that business.

You don't need 25, 30, 40,000 people.

So there's a huge amount of overhead where companies hire not just because they want to, you know, have bureaucrats, because they want to expand.

They want to try new things.

But I think that there's a judgment day that's come back where companies are like, look, we aren't getting as much for the staff that we grew in the last five years.

And this AI thing requires a totally different skill set.

The combination is going to mean this year, I predict in the next 12 to 24 months, we're going to see massive shedding of staffs and then massive rehiring.

But you might see a company shed 30,000 and hire 8,000.

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