Norman Swan
speaker
10,274 appearances
109 recordings
1 series
first heard Mar 2020
last heard 11 Aug
Norman Swan’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 2 in all, peaking in Aug 2026 with 1.
Appearances
that the virus in the United States will start to peak.
Deaths from the coronavirus will peak round about Inauguration Day and tail off towards the end of January into February.
So without any vaccine, you will see a natural peaking and tailing off.
It won't go down to zero, but it will start to ebb away.
If Joe Biden was like Trump, he would take full credit on day two of his presidency for turning around the pandemic, but it will be natural.
No, it's obviously a little bit of an effect of natural immunity in that.
But even by January, you're still not going to see the majority of Americans infected with the COVID-19 virus.
So a little bit of an effect, because what they say is that even 20%
coverage of immunity associated with some social distancing could see a tailing off.
No, I think they think it's simply how the virus responds to temperature.
And although it's still in the middle of winter and pretty cold...
There are plenty of viruses that have most of their effect in autumn and early winter and seem to die away in midwinter.
In fact, influenza is a bit like that, where influenza in Australia tends to hit more in autumn than in winter, in the depths of winter.
Not that we have much depths of winter.
So, yep, they think it's seasonal and it might start telling off.
And then if we're lucky with the vaccine and the vaccine does prevent transmission, that'll have an even more dramatic effect as the year goes through.
Well, if we've kept our international borders secure and we haven't had too many outbreaks and we're still socially distancing to some extent when we need to and we're able to control, then maybe not very much because there won't be very much virus around.
But if there's a significant, say, outbreak from hotel quarantine, if we're still doing it at that point, then you could see a major takeoff.
And Victoria, Tasmania, parts of South Australia would be vulnerable to that.
I think you feel the wrong thing, Tegan.
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