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Oz Veloshian

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
750 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

I think that's interesting.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

But your broader point holds.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

I mean, desalination is an absolutely critical node.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

It's not hardened facilities.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

And you've got countries that are relying on those plants for 90%, in some cases, 98% of their water.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

And they are being held hostage by the Iranians right now.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

If they are taken out, then you're gonna have mass exodus of major cities.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

So that's a huge vulnerability.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

But also, I mean, I don't see any amount, because supply chain resilience is expensive, and you can do it in limited ways to deal with sort of more expected shocks.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

But taking more than 10 million barrels of oil a day off of the market, not to mention all the natural gas, the fertilizers, the plastics, and the rest, taking that off the market for a month or two months or more, I don't see a world

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

where you're going to have people spend to prepare for that.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

I don't see that.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

What I see is that there are certain countries that have been investing longer term that are in better shape by virtue of the nature of their political system.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

So the Chinese have just much more full stockpiling in every commodity known to man that's helping them now.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

And they're also investing much longer term in moving away from oil and gas and towards renewables.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

And think about what this means for the importance of their electric vehicle sort of capabilities.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

And BYD, which was looking problematic because of involution competition, suddenly looks amazing again because,

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

Europeans and Asians just are going to continue to turn away from fossil fuel automobiles.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

So China to me looks much stronger, not because they've got suddenly resilience for 10 million barrels of oil off the table, but rather because they've been investing for the long term for a long time.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

You know, one of the peculiarities I find of the past month or two is