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Oz Veloshian

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
750 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

And corn is one of the many examples, but certainly one of the most profound, of corn yields just kept going up and not down.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

And they went up faster than human population did, which means corn doesn't just feed people.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

It feeds animals.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

It provides fuel.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

And there's a whole pushback to every single one of these.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

Maybe it's not a good thing, and maybe it's not a good use of land.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

But simply...

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

Parallel to that equation of we're running out of stuff, we just didn't run out of stuff.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

We didn't run out of stuff whether it's oil, there was a whole peak oil theory in the 70s too, because our technology made it possible not to.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

You couldn't have anticipated in the late 70s that corn yields would triple.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

You couldn't have anticipated that you would be able to drill 20,000 feet under the ocean bed and find oil because the technology wasn't there.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

And part of the problem today is because of the legacy of the 1990s, where the technologists promised everything and only delivered something, that sort of techno-optimism is in disrepute because it did overpromise.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

So if you say today, I believe technology will solve some of the problems of global warming and climate change, that's a dismissible statement because in the past it was overpromised.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

It shouldn't be nearly as dismissible statement because in the past we've

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

created technologies to solve for problems that human beings created.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

I'm curious about the moment in technology as you see it.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

You've also written a book about statistics and numbers and how we measure things called leading indicators.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

Are you familiar with the concept of P-Doom?

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

No, but you're going to tell me.

TechStuff
The Future Is Inherently Uncertain, But What Could Go Right?

P, open brackets, doom, closed brackets, is the probability that AI will kill us all.