Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate in Economics and Professor of Economics Paul Krugman Talks SCOTUS
That's estimated to be at about $260 billion.
Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate in Economics and Professor of Economics Paul Krugman Talks SCOTUS
So let's discuss with Nobel laureate in economics, Paul Krugman.
Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate in Economics and Professor of Economics Paul Krugman Talks SCOTUS
He is research professor of economics
Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate in Economics and Professor of Economics Paul Krugman Talks SCOTUS
at the City University of New York's Graduate Center.
Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate in Economics and Professor of Economics Paul Krugman Talks SCOTUS
Paul, it's great to have you with us.
Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate in Economics and Professor of Economics Paul Krugman Talks SCOTUS
So let's talk about that, because as we know, when it comes to the tariff revenue, that was an important pillar of the economic agenda of this administration.
Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate in Economics and Professor of Economics Paul Krugman Talks SCOTUS
If you take out the lion's share of that revenue in the form of these IEPA tariffs, where does that leave that agenda?
Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate in Economics and Professor of Economics Paul Krugman Talks SCOTUS
Well, I don't actually think the revenue was a key part of the agenda.
Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate in Economics and Professor of Economics Paul Krugman Talks SCOTUS
I think it was part of the case that the Trump administration made for the tariffs, but I don't think it was really their motivation.
Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate in Economics and Professor of Economics Paul Krugman Talks SCOTUS
That said, okay, we're looking, I believe now, at losing revenue that's around a
Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate in Economics and Professor of Economics Paul Krugman Talks SCOTUS
you know, 0.6% of GDP, which is something like a tenth of the budget deficit.
Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate in Economics and Professor of Economics Paul Krugman Talks SCOTUS
So the budget deficit gets about 10% bigger as a result of this ruling, unless, you know, in many ways, the other stuff that Trump was saying he's going to do is not, from his point of view, a good substitute for AIPA.
Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate in Economics and Professor of Economics Paul Krugman Talks SCOTUS
But it could replace a good part of the revenue.
Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate in Economics and Professor of Economics Paul Krugman Talks SCOTUS
I actually think that's all really pretty secondary.
Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate in Economics and Professor of Economics Paul Krugman Talks SCOTUS
But that's, you know, that...
Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate in Economics and Professor of Economics Paul Krugman Talks SCOTUS
In some ways, the revenue is the least of the issues.
Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate in Economics and Professor of Economics Paul Krugman Talks SCOTUS
Well, in your view then, what is the big issue here?
Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate in Economics and Professor of Economics Paul Krugman Talks SCOTUS
I mean, obviously there's a myriad that we could name, but what comes to mind to you as most urgent?
Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate in Economics and Professor of Economics Paul Krugman Talks SCOTUS
Well, the reason that Trump went with IHIPA when he was warned that it might not hold up in court, there was a big risk, everybody understood, of what just happened happening.
Bloomberg Talks
Nobel Laureate in Economics and Professor of Economics Paul Krugman Talks SCOTUS
And the reason he went with that as opposed to other more conventional trade tariffs, aside from the fact that