Peter Keating
speaker
64 appearances
3 recordings
1 series
first heard Dec 2024
last heard Mar 2025
Peter Keating’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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Appearances
How's it going?
Yeah, because what you're left with when you don't have good data is a lot of hot takes and personality based coverage. And it's great to get to know the athletes and the coaches as people. It's important, but it's also very easy when you don't have any numbers or any analytics or any evidence for what you're saying, basically.
to just offer up a bunch of opinions which might be true or might not be true. Every time around this time every year, we hear simultaneously from people who say, wow, this team is so young and brash and inexperienced, they don't know enough to be afraid. And then at the same time, people on the same TV set are saying, wow, this team has senior leadership. It's so important to have experience.
And you're like, well, which one is true? And how do we know? And there's a million things like that. And there's no good excuse anymore, given the audience, given the interest, given the talent that's flowing into the game to have women's sports analytics lagging as far as they currently do behind their male counterparts.
I just want to say the great thing about that, about getting extra possessions, is there's a lot of work involved. And you can rebuild a team or build a team up, make it better. really quickly by focusing on players who are relentless at crashing the boards and working to get turnovers.
So you see a lot of what we call giant killers emerge by focusing on these effort-based tactics that really help you build that extra possessions and survive not being as good a shooting team as your opponent. I just want to say, you know, everybody has their complaints about who should have gotten number ones and who should have been seated higher.
Nobody remembers that if you're going to see somebody high, you kind of need to see somebody lower or say something that should have been seated lower. Well, here you go. I love North Carolina State's story from last season, but there's no way they should be a two seed.
You can name a half a dozen teams off the top of your head probably that are better, including the number three seed here, LSU, who I think has – I mean, there's nobody tougher. And they've got a great – maybe the great best three-player combination in the country. They're obviously going to be a real threat to –
It pains me to say Michigan State like Jordan did because, you know, in the first round they faced Harvard and Harmony Turner is one of my favorite players in the whole country. And they were a lot of fun to watch. And they finally, after narrow losses, narrow misses in the Ivies the last couple of years, finally made the tournament.
So I was all set to go somewhere and pronounce that Harvard was going to be a great giant killer. But they're going to run into Michigan State, and I like that pick a lot. He's being modest, by the way. That's his alma mater.
Wait, wait. Are you saying that to give us the chance to bring up the greatest giant killing story of all time, of all history?
Because when people say Virginia was the first number one to lose, they just mean in the men's game. Back in the 90s, number one Stanford lost in the women's tournament to number 16 Harvard. First 16 win ever. in a 64 field tournament. You really stepped in it.
Before we get to the upsets, I just want to point out, when South Carolina absolutely got smoked by UConn in February, and I saw that game and I was like, it was the first time I ever saw a Don Cieli team look a step slow or out of it. And that was kind of alarming. And I was like, it's either going to go one of two ways, right? Either they are a step slow and it's just not their year, or...
I feel sorry for who they're gonna play next. Okay, since then, they beat Arkansas, they crushed Vanderbilt, one of my personal favorite giant killing possibilities, twice. They torched Ole Miss, and then they beat, Number 15, Kentucky by 14 points. Number 10, Oklahoma by 23 points. And then Texas by 22. So they're a truck rolling downhill.
And so we can pick some upset possibilities, but, you know,
There's a great second round. Yeah. Great second round possibility. I want to throw out one crazy first round thing, though. Every now and then we see a kind of a single player have a big impact. So there's a player named Diamond Johnson, who is one of the very top players in steals in the whole country. And by herself, basically, she's elevated. They're ball hawking and they're thievery.
They just seize all these possessions from their opponents. They're a crazy pick, but if you watch them, you'll watch them irritate the heck out of a better team. And they're an off-the-wall pick, basically because of her. Their turnover rate is very high.
Peter, you want to do the 30-second explainer? 25 seconds. We take every team's results, and we adjust them by the strength of their opponents and their margins of victory. We create a power ratings, and then we adjust that by the characteristics that help teams pull upsets in past tournaments.
Well, I mentioned Norfolk State with their one player driving an incredible turnover rate. This is another off-the-wall deep dog, but out in Montana, at Montana State, there's a freshman point guard named Taylee Cherick who...
is I think if she's not leading the country in steel percentage, it's only because she hasn't been playing enough minutes because she had to grow into the role because she's a freshman. That's that's a really interesting, crazy giant. The analytics love Montana State. I don't know if that's a famous enough team to pick, but that's that's kind of a cool off the wall pick in this region.
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