Peter Keating
Appearances
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Good Follow - Dearica Hamby joins the Show, Rose BC Wins Unrivaled + A Bracket Breakdown w/ The Underdogs & More
I just want to say the great thing about that, about getting extra possessions, is there's a lot of work involved. And you can rebuild a team or build a team up, make it better. really quickly by focusing on players who are relentless at crashing the boards and working to get turnovers.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Good Follow - Dearica Hamby joins the Show, Rose BC Wins Unrivaled + A Bracket Breakdown w/ The Underdogs & More
So you see a lot of what we call giant killers emerge by focusing on these effort-based tactics that really help you build that extra possessions and survive not being as good a shooting team as your opponent. I just want to say, you know, everybody has their complaints about who should have gotten number ones and who should have been seated higher.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Good Follow - Dearica Hamby joins the Show, Rose BC Wins Unrivaled + A Bracket Breakdown w/ The Underdogs & More
Nobody remembers that if you're going to see somebody high, you kind of need to see somebody lower or say something that should have been seated lower. Well, here you go. I love North Carolina State's story from last season, but there's no way they should be a two seed.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Good Follow - Dearica Hamby joins the Show, Rose BC Wins Unrivaled + A Bracket Breakdown w/ The Underdogs & More
You can name a half a dozen teams off the top of your head probably that are better, including the number three seed here, LSU, who I think has – I mean, there's nobody tougher. And they've got a great – maybe the great best three-player combination in the country. They're obviously going to be a real threat to –
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Good Follow - Dearica Hamby joins the Show, Rose BC Wins Unrivaled + A Bracket Breakdown w/ The Underdogs & More
It pains me to say Michigan State like Jordan did because, you know, in the first round they faced Harvard and Harmony Turner is one of my favorite players in the whole country. And they were a lot of fun to watch. And they finally, after narrow losses, narrow misses in the Ivies the last couple of years, finally made the tournament.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Good Follow - Dearica Hamby joins the Show, Rose BC Wins Unrivaled + A Bracket Breakdown w/ The Underdogs & More
So I was all set to go somewhere and pronounce that Harvard was going to be a great giant killer. But they're going to run into Michigan State, and I like that pick a lot. He's being modest, by the way. That's his alma mater.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Good Follow - Dearica Hamby joins the Show, Rose BC Wins Unrivaled + A Bracket Breakdown w/ The Underdogs & More
Wait, wait. Are you saying that to give us the chance to bring up the greatest giant killing story of all time, of all history?
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Good Follow - Dearica Hamby joins the Show, Rose BC Wins Unrivaled + A Bracket Breakdown w/ The Underdogs & More
Because when people say Virginia was the first number one to lose, they just mean in the men's game. Back in the 90s, number one Stanford lost in the women's tournament to number 16 Harvard. First 16 win ever. in a 64 field tournament. You really stepped in it.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Good Follow - Dearica Hamby joins the Show, Rose BC Wins Unrivaled + A Bracket Breakdown w/ The Underdogs & More
Before we get to the upsets, I just want to point out, when South Carolina absolutely got smoked by UConn in February, and I saw that game and I was like, it was the first time I ever saw a Don Cieli team look a step slow or out of it. And that was kind of alarming. And I was like, it's either going to go one of two ways, right? Either they are a step slow and it's just not their year, or...
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Good Follow - Dearica Hamby joins the Show, Rose BC Wins Unrivaled + A Bracket Breakdown w/ The Underdogs & More
I feel sorry for who they're gonna play next. Okay, since then, they beat Arkansas, they crushed Vanderbilt, one of my personal favorite giant killing possibilities, twice. They torched Ole Miss, and then they beat, Number 15, Kentucky by 14 points. Number 10, Oklahoma by 23 points. And then Texas by 22. So they're a truck rolling downhill.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Good Follow - Dearica Hamby joins the Show, Rose BC Wins Unrivaled + A Bracket Breakdown w/ The Underdogs & More
And so we can pick some upset possibilities, but, you know,
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Good Follow - Dearica Hamby joins the Show, Rose BC Wins Unrivaled + A Bracket Breakdown w/ The Underdogs & More
There's a great second round. Yeah. Great second round possibility. I want to throw out one crazy first round thing, though. Every now and then we see a kind of a single player have a big impact. So there's a player named Diamond Johnson, who is one of the very top players in steals in the whole country. And by herself, basically, she's elevated. They're ball hawking and they're thievery.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Good Follow - Dearica Hamby joins the Show, Rose BC Wins Unrivaled + A Bracket Breakdown w/ The Underdogs & More
They just seize all these possessions from their opponents. They're a crazy pick, but if you watch them, you'll watch them irritate the heck out of a better team. And they're an off-the-wall pick, basically because of her. Their turnover rate is very high.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Good Follow - Dearica Hamby joins the Show, Rose BC Wins Unrivaled + A Bracket Breakdown w/ The Underdogs & More
Peter, you want to do the 30-second explainer? 25 seconds. We take every team's results, and we adjust them by the strength of their opponents and their margins of victory. We create a power ratings, and then we adjust that by the characteristics that help teams pull upsets in past tournaments.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Good Follow - Dearica Hamby joins the Show, Rose BC Wins Unrivaled + A Bracket Breakdown w/ The Underdogs & More
Well, I mentioned Norfolk State with their one player driving an incredible turnover rate. This is another off-the-wall deep dog, but out in Montana, at Montana State, there's a freshman point guard named Taylee Cherick who...
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Good Follow - Dearica Hamby joins the Show, Rose BC Wins Unrivaled + A Bracket Breakdown w/ The Underdogs & More
is I think if she's not leading the country in steel percentage, it's only because she hasn't been playing enough minutes because she had to grow into the role because she's a freshman. That's that's a really interesting, crazy giant. The analytics love Montana State. I don't know if that's a famous enough team to pick, but that's that's kind of a cool off the wall pick in this region.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Good Follow - Dearica Hamby joins the Show, Rose BC Wins Unrivaled + A Bracket Breakdown w/ The Underdogs & More
Yeah, look, last year, what were the criticisms of UConn? They were injured and they didn't have their best lineup on the court at all the time. And what was their strength of schedule? This year you can't hold either one of those things against them. They finally have Beckers and Putt on the court at the same time.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Good Follow - Dearica Hamby joins the Show, Rose BC Wins Unrivaled + A Bracket Breakdown w/ The Underdogs & More
And by some measures, Sarah Strong has been the most efficient player in the entire country. And they've played a tougher schedule. They're right up there in our spreadsheets with South Carolina.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Good Follow - Dearica Hamby joins the Show, Rose BC Wins Unrivaled + A Bracket Breakdown w/ The Underdogs & More
Finally, they're supposed to finally get Ayoka Lee back for the tournament, right? I mean, she was the inside presence to their fantastic fleet of guards that surrounded her. And they were a top 10 team until she got hurt. And I think they, you know, they did not end the year looking good. But when they have everybody playing, they're really good.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Good Follow - Dearica Hamby joins the Show, Rose BC Wins Unrivaled + A Bracket Breakdown w/ The Underdogs & More
I actually did not know that. That's fantastic. Yes. That was quite a tournament history.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Good Follow - Dearica Hamby joins the Show, Rose BC Wins Unrivaled + A Bracket Breakdown w/ The Underdogs & More
I mean, well, now I'm a Sarah Strong fan, too. So now we're going to be even harder. Go go harder on you.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Good Follow - Dearica Hamby joins the Show, Rose BC Wins Unrivaled + A Bracket Breakdown w/ The Underdogs & More
Right on time. A win is the most basic stat of all, so it kind of is. We're going to claim wins.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Good Follow - Dearica Hamby joins the Show, Rose BC Wins Unrivaled + A Bracket Breakdown w/ The Underdogs & More
How's it going?
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Good Follow - Dearica Hamby joins the Show, Rose BC Wins Unrivaled + A Bracket Breakdown w/ The Underdogs & More
Yeah, because what you're left with when you don't have good data is a lot of hot takes and personality based coverage. And it's great to get to know the athletes and the coaches as people. It's important, but it's also very easy when you don't have any numbers or any analytics or any evidence for what you're saying, basically.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Good Follow - Dearica Hamby joins the Show, Rose BC Wins Unrivaled + A Bracket Breakdown w/ The Underdogs & More
to just offer up a bunch of opinions which might be true or might not be true. Every time around this time every year, we hear simultaneously from people who say, wow, this team is so young and brash and inexperienced, they don't know enough to be afraid. And then at the same time, people on the same TV set are saying, wow, this team has senior leadership. It's so important to have experience.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Good Follow - Dearica Hamby joins the Show, Rose BC Wins Unrivaled + A Bracket Breakdown w/ The Underdogs & More
And you're like, well, which one is true? And how do we know? And there's a million things like that. And there's no good excuse anymore, given the audience, given the interest, given the talent that's flowing into the game to have women's sports analytics lagging as far as they currently do behind their male counterparts.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
I think there's a white guy situation. There's a white guy situation. There's two Americas when it comes to the dice. I know, but in Vegas it's the craps table. Maybe he wasn't doing the Vegas dice. That's not a white guy thing. That's West Side Story. That's Guys and Dolls.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
So that is a white guy thing. It didn't even occur to me that it was anything other than celebrating going to Vegas.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
I got the horse right here. His name is Paul Revere.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
Fugue for tin horns.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
Britney Spears' Dance from her Vegas residency. The work bitch dance.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
You know, like the little... I can't. That's like the Vogue. I always try to do the Vogue and I can't quite do it. I have no rhythm. It's pretty simple. You always try to do the Vogue? Yeah, I always have tried to be that. After the Material Girl video. So I try to do that and it just doesn't work. I'm just sitting here. No, it's working.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
It was nominated for Best Picture a couple years ago. Steven Spielberg. Yeah, what did you think about the remake? Terrible. I didn't need it. Absolutely not necessary. It's worse than Christian Bale.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
Ich brauchte jemanden. I also watched it. But you're doing this from a vantage point of not having seen it.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
Du hast es ihm verdient, es zu sehen, weil es seine Karriere ist. Und Kevin Costner hat das gleiche mit Horizon gemacht. Also ist es nicht völlig ungewöhnlich, ein Passionsprojekt zu machen. Steven Spielberg hat viel Geld auf Passionsprojekte über den Holocaust gespart. Es ist nicht ungewöhnlich für jemanden wie Francis Ford Coppola, jetzt für sich selbst Legacy zu fischen.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
So I did not have the same reaction to you at all and I'm disappointed that you would react that way. It's disrespectful to him.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
He should have just been the head coach of the North Carolina Tar Heels instead.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
It wasn't terrible.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
Costner kam raus und sagte, ich möchte sagen, dass die Zahl um über 50 Millionen Dollar war. Und der Witz mit Coppola ist, dass es höher als das ist. Aber es kann einen Unterschied geben, weil Costner die Chance hat, es zurückzubekommen, weil es eine Serie von Horizon-Filmen ist. Obwohl sie Horizon 2 gedelayt haben, aber er filmt Horizon 3 und 4. Coppola hat es nur in einem Film gemacht.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
Did you see Ferrari?
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
That'd be a good data point to have.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
It doesn't hurt. He didn't do it for you. He didn't do it for the reviews. He didn't do it for the return. He did it because this was his life project. 40 years. He can put a bow on his career in his mind. He's not focused on your show and what you're saying about it.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
Sie sagen ihm, du hast einen tollen Job gemacht, einen tollen Film, wir lieben es.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
Ja, du hast das gemacht. Wenn Gruden 50 für 5 gekauft hätte, würde er den Barstool ziemlich schnell verlassen, Dan.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
He's making more at UNC.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
Was it done in haste? Was his shirt off right before the picture was taken?
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
I think he could have been tanning, which is why he's got the face that looks sunburned. No, he's always been.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
Maybe he's just an idiot.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
Yes. The shirt they had on before was worse than the shirt they had on now.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
I don't know, like his 61-year life.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
I did their show and he couldn't even show up. I had to do it alone. Wait, you did their show alone? Yes, because there was a technology issue. I like him just doing underdogs. Hey, David Sampson, it's underdogs.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
I mean, if I needed it, which I don't, but hypothetically if I needed it, because I wasn't already a Bowl Season expert, Dan. What do you make of trying to put bets on Bowl Season when there are dozens of opt-outs of every game, coaches changing minute by minute and sort of like the... The incentive to winning the games has slightly diminished since the playoffs started.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
It's under negotiation.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
Das ist aggressiv. Wenn du gesagt hast, Tony Awards, habe ich fast auf Tony geschaut.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
Hour 2: Jon Gruden Is Feelin Nicey (Feat. The Underdogs)
Gib mir ein Bowl Game, das ich betten kann. Nur eins.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
The Big Suey: First Fake
I want to say, I think there's something a little deeper going on that we should pay some respect to, which is that modern analytics have moved baseball away from base stealing, have moved football away from rushing, have moved basketball away from the inside game. A lot of people grew up where sports meant a lot more violence and physical contact and beat the hell out of the other guy.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
The Big Suey: First Fake
And over time, more information discovered other ways to defeat your opponents. There are people who just don't like that. People who don't like how thinking about these things and the kind of bruising competitions they're used to enjoying go together. But it's all just information. It all just makes it smarter. It all just makes it more fun. Oh, and you're right.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
The Big Suey: First Fake
But I also, there's something a little more general to keep in mind that a way through this is to embrace the crazy, embrace the randomness. People want to ascribe events to reasons and character and moral turpitude. Sometimes shit just happens. I mean, yeah, we've been studying college basketball for 20 years.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
The Big Suey: First Fake
The closest we've been able to get in explaining the variance and what happens in order is it's not anywhere close to 100%. So you can embrace the fact that crazy stuff happens, appreciate it, doesn't have to be sustainable. And it still should be really enjoyable when unexpected things happen, even if it's a little more predictable.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
The Big Suey: First Fake
Well, the three point revolution. I mean, if that's that's kind of the paragon example of of how things have changed. Sure. But you got to remember, sports can also legislate against too much change. I mean, baseball just passed rules against the shift and instituted a, you know, for 150 years, baseball intellectuals were writing that the great timeless thing about baseball was there's no clock.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
The Big Suey: First Fake
Well, they changed it and it kind of made things better, right? So, you know, if we can't all get together and decide if this is too much, you know, we don't have robot umpires yet. If we don't want robot umpires, nobody's going to force us to have robot umpires. We can all get together and decide this is too much change. Let's keep things a little more fun if we want to. Sports have done that too.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
The Big Suey: First Fake
I would love to see the unintended consequences. You know, when's the last time a baseball team actually succeeded when they tried to recruit a free agent because they said, oh, look... I'm going to ignore this video trickery. I just want everybody to know my hat's still pointing up. You know, often that doesn't work out, which just adds to the fun.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
The Big Suey: First Fake
Listen, I think if it's within certain bounds, you know, there are rules about how far the fences can be in baseball. You can't just do whatever you want. There's certain minimums and maximums. That could be really interesting.
The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz
The Big Suey: First Fake
And unless you really like bicycling and no, no Florida Panthers, because we decided because we are we do a lot of analytics work. We decided Connor McDavid wasn't overrated.