Peter McCrory

speaker

628 appearances 3 recordings 3 series first heard Jan 2026 last heard 19 Jun

Peter McCrory’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 3 in all, peaking in Jun 2026 with 1.

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ABC Business Daily · Anthropic's Peter McCrory on Claude and the big AI disruption · 29 May 2026 podcast

So like enhancing expertise, maybe automating some jobs, but overall the unemployment rate remains subdued and there's a lot of churn under the surface.

Or is it more like a technology that moves very quickly and produces concentrated increase in unemployment?

I think we still don't have a good handle on how to assign probabilities to these different states of the world.

And I think Dario's point, and I don't want to speak for him, is that this is a scenario that we need to take seriously.

Like what

Should we be thinking about and doing today if that is a scenario that could possibly be on the horizon?

So in general, I would say yes.

The work that we produce is intended to stand on its own merits, to use the best methods that economists know how to use to answer the most pressing questions before us.

And this is a question I think a lot about in building out my team and in building out the portfolio

of our work.

How do you establish credibility as a research group within Anthropic?

One way that we do that is by publishing work out in the open.

So we put out this labor impact report in early March where we introduced a method for detecting displacement should it materialize.

And part of the reason that we published that null finding

was that it in some ways ties our hands to analyzing the data in a particular way that we think is sensible, that we can revisit over time and assess, is there any evidence yet of displacement or not?

And in the academic literature, there's all this worry about publications that are, you're doing analysis and you're only able to publish analyses that have a finding.

One aspect of our work is we're able to publish work that doesn't have a finding, but can nevertheless lend some useful insight on this question.

So I think here that we should be a bit circumspect about the range of uncertainty before us.

This is the most consequential technology of the last hundred years.

It's a general purpose technology.

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