Peter Zeihan

The first phase was in the 1980s and 90s when the United States started making things like smart bombs and cruise missiles.

Now it's going on to much cheaper platforms because low cost semiconductors are ubiquitous around the world.

and anyone can make a drone.

And so we've got Ukraine, which inherited part of the old brain trust from the Soviet missile and aerospace things, combined with a country that's desperate to survive, combined with these new inputs that they can bring in from abroad and making thousands of drones a day.

So every three months,

There's a new page.

First, it was single-person drones.

Then it was jamming.

Then it was drones with missiles.

Then it was water-based drones.

Then it was mass drones.

Then it was Shaheed drones.

Then it was Shaheed drones that could do a limited amount of target selection.

Now it's something called the Octopus drone, which the Ukrainians are just starting to use, which is a drone interceptor.

It's a new day every day, and I have no idea how this is going to play.

I can tell you with the technologies that existed pre-war exactly how this war would have gone.

Those aren't the technologies that are being used in the war anymore.

Right, but this is why it's called the revolution in military affairs.

If you go back to roughly 1935, the technologies we were using then up until 2022, with the exception of the introduction of the jet,

really hadn't changed.