Peter Zeihan

So it's an infrastructure issue of getting things by road and rail up and down among the major cities and out to a port like, say, Cartagena.

I love to say this.

That's one of those things that can be solved with money.

And money, at least from the American point of view, is not in limited supply if we don't want it to be.

The second issue, Cuba, is a little more complicated because Castro gutted the civil society.

And now that the Castros are gutted,

gone you just have a cluster of like 80 year old generals running the place and they're about as dynamic as biden and trump are in terms of doing things for the country so if you remove all of them you're not left with a blank slate because there's you know millions of people there but you're left with a system that doesn't have a logical next step

And restructuring it politically so it can accept investment is going to be a challenge, and you can't do that without institutions like USAID, which are now gone.

So we're going to have a really interesting case study in Venezuela right now, because that's more or less what has happened in Venezuela.

We removed the chief thug, the backup thug is now in charge, and there's only about a dozen thugs around her, and then there's nothing below it.

So if, if, if...

by some magical experience, then as well it doesn't collapse, then maybe we have a model.

But the US doesn't have the tools to impose something else at the moment.

Let me stop you right there.

Yeah.

Unfortunately, several places.

Yeah, let's start with the China situation.

If the goal of the United States is to beat the Chinese, you don't need a war.

You just need to put two or three destroyers in the general vicinity of Singapore and stop the oil flow, and it'll all be over.

And by all, I mean Chinese civilization will all be over in two years.