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PJ Vogt

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
12052 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

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The Venezuelan Curse

Just paint me a picture of what life looked like when everything was going really right.

Search Engine
The Venezuelan Curse

So it's too simple to say, oh, life is great for everybody.

Search Engine
The Venezuelan Curse

But the truer thing to say would be...

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The Venezuelan Curse

Like, things were relatively stable.

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The Venezuelan Curse

There were a lot of people in Venezuela for whom life was good, but there were also have-nots.

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The Venezuelan Curse

And part of the problem was just in a given year, no matter who's in charge or what their ideology is, what is the price of oil?

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The Venezuelan Curse

And so even if you're making promises about fair redistribution, if the price of oil goes down, what you have to redistribute is less.

Search Engine
The Venezuelan Curse

And people who aren't getting anything...

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The Venezuelan Curse

might not be very patient about that.

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The Venezuelan Curse

Exceptionally.

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The Venezuelan Curse

We're going to take a short break and then all the people who've tried to govern this exceptionally difficult place and what befell them.

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The Venezuelan Curse

Welcome back to the show.

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The Venezuelan Curse

We're in the 1970s now.

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The Venezuelan Curse

Venezuela, at this point, has a democratic government, and crucially this decade, the price of oil is going to skyrocket.

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The Venezuelan Curse

there will be a series of oil shocks, huge spikes in the international oil price.

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The Venezuelan Curse

The first big one is intentionally caused by OPEC, an alliance of oil-selling countries that Venezuela is a part of.

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The Venezuelan Curse

This big reduction in oil raises prices precipitously.

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The Venezuelan Curse

And later, there's a second oil shock during the Iranian revolution, the revolution craters Iranian oil production.

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The Venezuelan Curse

The 1970s in general, a time that was as economically good for Venezuela as it was bad for the U.S.

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The Venezuelan Curse

Here is Alejandro Velasco with chapter three of our story, Petrostate.