Raina MacIntyre

speaker
221 appearances 3 recordings 2 series first heard Feb 2020 last heard 4 Aug

Raina MacIntyre’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 2 in all, peaking in Aug 2026 with 1.

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You know, it's not a super common disease like influenza or COVID, so we don't have
as much research about it, but from what's known, we can't rule out asymptomatic transmission, which makes the whole outbreak control a bit more difficult if that's a factor.
Look, from the time they were potentially exposed, I think it covers the majority of the incubation period.
Occasionally you can get a longer incubation period, sort of up to eight weeks.
It depends on where you're assuming the first exposure was.
There's quite a science to outbreak investigation and, of course, we've got lots of highly qualified people doing that kind of thing in Australia who will...
assess the whole situation and get detailed contact histories from these people so I think it should be well managed.
Yeah, it's challenging all around and it's a little bit reminiscent of the West African Ebola outbreak in 2014 where there were cases that occurred around the world through travel and a couple of outbreaks sparked off, including in Nigeria.
Yeah.
You know, I think it's going to be similar to that or to MERS coronavirus, where you can see cases popping up, but I wouldn't expect it to take off and become a pandemic.
Firstly, because there's a lot of people saying it's different to COVID.
No one's really articulating why.
The reason is that this has a very long incubation period, which gives you time to
to trace the contacts, quarantine them and isolate people who may be potentially infectious.
And also, although asymptomatic transmission is potentially a factor, it's unlikely to be a dominant factor.
Whereas in COVID, it's a hugely dominant factor.
50% or more of all SARS-CoV-2 transmissions are from people who are
completely asymptomatic, which makes it diabolically difficult to control.
So those two factors are not there with this, which is why I think it can be controlled.
Okay.
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