Randall Carlson

Meltwater Pulse 1b, rapid pulse of sea level rise, the end of the Younger Dryas, the transition from the Pleistocene Epoch to the Holocene Epoch.

So let's say that the Holocene we're in now is 10,000 to 11,000 years old, right?

If we look back and we are looking in the record of the planetary climate

going back hundreds of thousand years, we find periods, like there's one called the Eemian that dates, it was 13,000 years.

It lasted from 116 to 130 or 129,000 years ago.

It was considered to be the one period in Earth's history, recent Earth's history, that was an analog for the modern Holocene.

Well, it turns out that even within the Eemian, there were these extraordinary extreme spikes of climatic change.

And we can find that there are other intervals of warming.

None of them are as long as the one we're in right now.

In other words, we've exceeded by 1,000 to 2,000 years at least any other comparable warming system, warming period that we can discern within the last at least quarter million years or longer.

What would that suggest to you?

I would suggest the possibility that, yeah, we could be due for something.

I make no specific predictions at all about that.

But it'd be just like if, you know, well, gosh, here it is already early December and we haven't had the first freeze yet.

We don't know what time of day or what day that first freeze is going to come.

But we know it's going to be coming.

It might become a week later or a week earlier than the average, but it's coming.

Oh, unless by some inexplicable means that whole cycle has been terminated.

Otherwise, and I don't see any reason to assume that, that whatever has driven the onset of ice ages previously is no longer functional.

And if it is functional, then yeah, we have to assume sooner or later we're going to go into another ice age.