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Richard de Crespigny

πŸ‘€ Speaker
See mentions of this person in podcasts
895 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Straight Talk with Mark Bouris
#222 Richard de Crespigny: The Pilot Who Saved 440 Qantas Passengers

You'll derive.

809.12 View full episode β†’
Straight Talk with Mark Bouris
#222 Richard de Crespigny: The Pilot Who Saved 440 Qantas Passengers

You do the hard work.

810.022 View full episode β†’
Straight Talk with Mark Bouris
#222 Richard de Crespigny: The Pilot Who Saved 440 Qantas Passengers

You derive.

810.825 View full episode β†’
Straight Talk with Mark Bouris
#222 Richard de Crespigny: The Pilot Who Saved 440 Qantas Passengers

Well, given these reasons, yes, I am safe.

811.286 View full episode β†’
Straight Talk with Mark Bouris
#222 Richard de Crespigny: The Pilot Who Saved 440 Qantas Passengers

So I'm going to put it really simply.

813.652 View full episode β†’
Straight Talk with Mark Bouris
#222 Richard de Crespigny: The Pilot Who Saved 440 Qantas Passengers

We talk about risk, and risk is probability of an event times a consequence.

815.597 View full episode β†’
Straight Talk with Mark Bouris
#222 Richard de Crespigny: The Pilot Who Saved 440 Qantas Passengers

Right?

820.33 View full episode β†’
Straight Talk with Mark Bouris
#222 Richard de Crespigny: The Pilot Who Saved 440 Qantas Passengers

Now, let's imagine the consequences are the same.

820.811 View full episode β†’
Straight Talk with Mark Bouris
#222 Richard de Crespigny: The Pilot Who Saved 440 Qantas Passengers

Let's imagine the consequence is you dying.

822.636 View full episode β†’
Straight Talk with Mark Bouris
#222 Richard de Crespigny: The Pilot Who Saved 440 Qantas Passengers

Right.

829.289 View full episode β†’
Straight Talk with Mark Bouris
#222 Richard de Crespigny: The Pilot Who Saved 440 Qantas Passengers

This is the worst.

829.429 View full episode β†’
Straight Talk with Mark Bouris
#222 Richard de Crespigny: The Pilot Who Saved 440 Qantas Passengers

And now we're going to talk about risk where death is the outcome, the consequence.

830.05 View full episode β†’
Straight Talk with Mark Bouris
#222 Richard de Crespigny: The Pilot Who Saved 440 Qantas Passengers

So the risk is equal to the probability because the consequence is the consequence.

834.559 View full episode β†’
Straight Talk with Mark Bouris
#222 Richard de Crespigny: The Pilot Who Saved 440 Qantas Passengers

No.

846.582 View full episode β†’
Straight Talk with Mark Bouris
#222 Richard de Crespigny: The Pilot Who Saved 440 Qantas Passengers

No, no, no.

848.489 View full episode β†’
Straight Talk with Mark Bouris
#222 Richard de Crespigny: The Pilot Who Saved 440 Qantas Passengers

Gravity is a consequence.

849.971 View full episode β†’
Straight Talk with Mark Bouris
#222 Richard de Crespigny: The Pilot Who Saved 440 Qantas Passengers

The consequence is what is the outcome when an event happens.

851.673 View full episode β†’
Straight Talk with Mark Bouris
#222 Richard de Crespigny: The Pilot Who Saved 440 Qantas Passengers

Events can be probable and possible, and that's different levels of probability of an event happening.

856.62 View full episode β†’
Straight Talk with Mark Bouris
#222 Richard de Crespigny: The Pilot Who Saved 440 Qantas Passengers

But the probability of an asteroid coming through this room is very small.

864.791 View full episode β†’
Straight Talk with Mark Bouris
#222 Richard de Crespigny: The Pilot Who Saved 440 Qantas Passengers

The consequence is probably fatal for you and me, right?

870.258 View full episode β†’