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Rob Wiblin

πŸ‘€ Speaker
3881 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

80,000 Hours Podcast
What it's really like to run AGI safety at Google DeepMind (and where I disagree with 'doomers') | Rohin Shah

We don't know exactly what commitments we will want to have made.

80,000 Hours Podcast
What it's really like to run AGI safety at Google DeepMind (and where I disagree with 'doomers') | Rohin Shah

You might end up committing to something that is useless or even actively harmful.

80,000 Hours Podcast
What it's really like to run AGI safety at Google DeepMind (and where I disagree with 'doomers') | Rohin Shah

But if you think about why do people make commitments at all, there's a couple of different reasons.

80,000 Hours Podcast
What it's really like to run AGI safety at Google DeepMind (and where I disagree with 'doomers') | Rohin Shah

One is that they want to, I guess, tie themselves to the mast against future temptation to do the wrong thing.

80,000 Hours Podcast
What it's really like to run AGI safety at Google DeepMind (and where I disagree with 'doomers') | Rohin Shah

There's also, I guess, that they want to communicate to other people what they're going to do so it makes it easier for them to coordinate.

80,000 Hours Podcast
What it's really like to run AGI safety at Google DeepMind (and where I disagree with 'doomers') | Rohin Shah

Perhaps you could reduce race dynamics by making particular commitments.

80,000 Hours Podcast
What it's really like to run AGI safety at Google DeepMind (and where I disagree with 'doomers') | Rohin Shah

And I guess in this multi-person, multi-player situation, there's an extra reason that exists, which is that external people want to pressure Google DeepMind or they want to pressure AI companies to act in a particular way.

80,000 Hours Podcast
What it's really like to run AGI safety at Google DeepMind (and where I disagree with 'doomers') | Rohin Shah

It's very difficult for them.

80,000 Hours Podcast
What it's really like to run AGI safety at Google DeepMind (and where I disagree with 'doomers') | Rohin Shah

It's very difficult to communicate

80,000 Hours Podcast
What it's really like to run AGI safety at Google DeepMind (and where I disagree with 'doomers') | Rohin Shah

you know, we're committed to doing the right thing, whatever that turns out to be.

80,000 Hours Podcast
What it's really like to run AGI safety at Google DeepMind (and where I disagree with 'doomers') | Rohin Shah

So instead, they want to pressure you to do specific things that they suspect will be useful, might not be the case, but they kind of best guess as to what they will want you to do in future.

80,000 Hours Podcast
What it's really like to run AGI safety at Google DeepMind (and where I disagree with 'doomers') | Rohin Shah

And that's maybe the most practical thing that they can actually campaign on.

80,000 Hours Podcast
What it's really like to run AGI safety at Google DeepMind (and where I disagree with 'doomers') | Rohin Shah

What would you make of those kind of arguments for actually making commitments?

80,000 Hours Podcast
What it's really like to run AGI safety at Google DeepMind (and where I disagree with 'doomers') | Rohin Shah

But because the companies won't stick to bad goals that they're given or to any goals?

80,000 Hours Podcast
What it's really like to run AGI safety at Google DeepMind (and where I disagree with 'doomers') | Rohin Shah

Hey everyone, Rob here.

80,000 Hours Podcast
What it's really like to run AGI safety at Google DeepMind (and where I disagree with 'doomers') | Rohin Shah

To avoid any confusion, I just wanted to point out that Rohin said the above before Anthropic released the third version of their responsible scaling policy, which indeed mostly dropped the use of the term commitment, giving a justification related to the stuff that Rohin is saying here.

80,000 Hours Podcast
What it's really like to run AGI safety at Google DeepMind (and where I disagree with 'doomers') | Rohin Shah

All right, back to the show.

80,000 Hours Podcast
What it's really like to run AGI safety at Google DeepMind (and where I disagree with 'doomers') | Rohin Shah

Because Google is more conservative about the commitments that it makes, it's actually more likely to follow through on the things that it does say it will do.

80,000 Hours Podcast
What it's really like to run AGI safety at Google DeepMind (and where I disagree with 'doomers') | Rohin Shah

That's right.

80,000 Hours Podcast
What it's really like to run AGI safety at Google DeepMind (and where I disagree with 'doomers') | Rohin Shah

They're very paranoid about commitments.