Robert Malley
speaker
322 appearances
3 recordings
3 series
first heard Apr 2026
last heard 8 Jul
Robert Malley’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 3 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 1.
Appearances
when it left the deal in 2018, and the ability to sell oil, at least for a period of two months, the period that has been allocated for these negotiations, which could be extended, the ability to sell this oil and to recover the proceeds from those sales.
That significant amount of money, it's peanuts compared to what they lost economically.
People are talking about a roughly 10% drop in their GDP as a result of the war, hundreds of billions of dollars of cost in terms of what they've lost to infrastructure, anywhere between half a trillion and a trillion dollars.
Whatever they're going to get as a result of the memorandum of understanding cannot compensate for the losses they incurred.
So when I hear people complain about how much Iran is going to get out of it, I think they need to take a step back and realize that net-net, Iran is coming out of this having lost tremendously.
Yes, the Iranian people will benefit to some extent.
Again, they won't recover a fraction of what they lost.
If the big deal that is described in the memorandum of understanding is reached, and that's a huge if, if you read the words, a lifting of all U.S.
sanctions, something that has never been contemplated by any president, whether it's Obama, Biden, anyone else, which is all sanctions lifted.
primary and secondary sanctions, so that basically the economic relations between the U.S.
and Iran would be as it is between the U.S.
and any other country.
It's not clear what Iran would have to do in exchange other than its nuclear concession.
So it's a very strangely drafted deal, as I said.
But if that were to come to pass, if there was this grand bargain,
where the U.S.
would lift all its sanctions, Iran would take whatever steps it needs to take for the U.S.
to be satisfied, then of course that would have a dramatic impact on Iran's economy.
But what is on the table now is important but modest.
My guess is we're not going to see this grand deal.
Showing 81–100 of 322 · page 5 of 17
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