Robert Pape
speaker
308 appearances
3 recordings
1 series
first heard Jun 2026
last heard 2d ago
Robert Pape’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
Trend
recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 3 in all, peaking in Sep 2026 with 1.
Appearances
Nobody trusts Trump on this.
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Not the UAE.
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They want an ironclad promise from Iran.
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They're not going to get killed.
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Or when they go in and out, Iran's not just going to bottle them up again because Israel is going after all those reasons that you just went through with your other guests.
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The bottom line here is everybody is celebrating too early.
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We are not at the end game.
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And I'm glad to tell you when we know we're
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going to be at the end game.
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I've been modeling this for 20 years.
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We're at the middle game of the escalation trap.
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And this is a point where the two sides don't even agree on what this MOU means.
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They say they initialed it, but they're making it quite clear they don't agree on what it means.
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And then over time, Piers, what's going to happen is Iran's leverage is going to grow because you see over the next 30 to 60 days, the world is still going to draw down those oil inventories because it's going to take 60 days before the ships actually get the stuff to the refineries.
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So that means by the time the 60 days are up, all those cushions are at zero.
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peers.
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That's what we're facing.
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And Iran's leverage will grow.
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And what happens when states leverage grow?
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Typically, they want more.
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Showing 221–240 of 308 · page 12 of 16
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