Robert Pape

So I've got some action.

I'd go to Taiwan too.

And what you're really seeing is

China here is just getting stronger and stronger and stronger incrementally.

That's true economically.

That's true militarily.

And at some point, Taiwan may just fall in their lap.

They may not have to actually use military force.

And look, we've run out of all of these boutique missiles.

There's so many of them.

We're really hurting now in terms of supporting Taiwan.

What's keeping Taiwan afloat is its actual Taiwanese military power.

which is not trivial here.

They have months they could hold out against China on its own.

But whether America is the cavalry that would come to the rescue after, say, four or five months of a blockade against Taiwan, that's an open question at this point, and Xi sees it.

Yeah.

Yeah, this is a while before a likely storm.

We just don't know whether that storm is going to be, you know, sort of a cloudburst or it's going to be a hailstorm.

And the issue here we've talked about many, many times is President Trump is going to have an incredibly difficult time swallowing that big L

on him, which will, as bad as you think his political prospects are now, he's still got a large part of MAGA behind him.