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Robin Brooks

👤 Speaker
201 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
China’s AI Is 20x Cheaper — And Catching Up

So when global uncertainty goes up, for example, Liberation Day tariffs, Swedish krona actually does well.

Prof G Markets
China’s AI Is 20x Cheaper — And Catching Up

So I would put the Swedish krona in the same bucket as gold, silver, platinum, you name it.

Prof G Markets
China’s AI Is 20x Cheaper — And Catching Up

It is this safe asset.

Prof G Markets
China’s AI Is 20x Cheaper — And Catching Up

What exactly is going on with dollar debasement, I think, is a separate question.

Prof G Markets
China’s AI Is 20x Cheaper — And Catching Up

Incidentally, the dollar is up today because the FOMC minutes talked about hikes, and that surprised the market.

Prof G Markets
China’s AI Is 20x Cheaper — And Catching Up

So I think there's clearly a flight to safety.

Prof G Markets
China’s AI Is 20x Cheaper — And Catching Up

What exactly people are fleeing from isn't quite clear yet.

Prof G Markets
China’s AI Is 20x Cheaper — And Catching Up

Yeah.

Prof G Markets
China’s AI Is 20x Cheaper — And Catching Up

Well, we know that in the United States, fiscal policy is kind of out of control.

Prof G Markets
China’s AI Is 20x Cheaper — And Catching Up

Yeah.

Prof G Markets
China’s AI Is 20x Cheaper — And Catching Up

Debt is on a trajectory that is not good at all.

Prof G Markets
China’s AI Is 20x Cheaper — And Catching Up

Deficits are out of control.

Prof G Markets
China’s AI Is 20x Cheaper — And Catching Up

The thing is, that's true for many other countries too.

Prof G Markets
China’s AI Is 20x Cheaper — And Catching Up

Yeah.

Prof G Markets
China’s AI Is 20x Cheaper — And Catching Up

Everyone is in trouble on fiscal.

Prof G Markets
China’s AI Is 20x Cheaper — And Catching Up

And so in a relative sense, the United States is worrying, but relatively speaking, it doesn't look that bad.

Prof G Markets
China’s AI Is 20x Cheaper — And Catching Up

So when you look at, for example, risk premium in the bond market on treasuries over other comparably measured government bonds in other countries, actually the United States smells like roses.

Prof G Markets
China’s AI Is 20x Cheaper — And Catching Up

It sounds crazy.

Prof G Markets
China’s AI Is 20x Cheaper — And Catching Up

So I think...

Prof G Markets
China’s AI Is 20x Cheaper — And Catching Up

Where we are is that there's a debasement trade, for sure.