Rodrigo Catril
speaker
7,882 appearances
78 recordings
1 series
first heard Sep 2024
last heard 3 Sep
Rodrigo Catril’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
Trend
recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 35 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 5.
Appearances
to be sustained.
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Um but now we are in a situation where the labor market is actually okay.
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Uh the unemployment rate is um you know it's declining.
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Um and the job creation while maybe not as strong as it initially thought is still there.
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Um and even when you look at uh the um you know earnings
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Earnings are have actually been creeping up.
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They were two point nine percent uh just a couple of months ago.
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Now they're three and a half percent.
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Yes,
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Uh well, the so there's a general rule of thumb that the average hourly earnings around three, three and a half percent are kind of okay for for inflation or in line with that two percent inflation target.
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Anything above four percent becomes more of a concern.
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So for now, um yeah, hourly earnings are are kind of where they they need to be, um uh and they're not a concern.
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But effectively to me, this means that well, the Fed doesn't have to
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worry about the labour market anymore.
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It's it's where it's at.
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It's in a good place.
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Um and therefore you need to focus on on on inflation.
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And and for that matter it's important to remember that you know inflation not just in the US but um in other places has been overshooting for quite some time.
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I think it's close to five years in the US.
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Importantly too when you look at the the trend in inflation in the past six months has gone up.
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Showing 781–800 of 7,882 · page 40 of 395
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