Rodrigo Catril

speaker

7,882 appearances 78 recordings 1 series first heard Sep 2024 last heard 3 Sep

Rodrigo Catril’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

Trend

recordings per month · last 12 months

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 35 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 5.

Appearances

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NAB Morning Call · More peace hope, more tech caution · 22 Jun 2026 podcast

And if that kind of goes smoothly, then he could be ready to be the new PM around the 17th of July. voice-verified

Otherwise, it could take a bit longer. voice-verified

Yeah, so the important sort of takeaway from that is that you've seen, if you like, this divergence between the headline, which is certainly, you know, being pushed higher by gasoline prices, voice-verified

But when you look at those three measures of core readings, they're actually a little bit more stable. voice-verified

We've seen the trim mean and the weighting median flat around 2 and 2.1%, so no major increases. voice-verified

And the common component, which is the other preferred measure by the Bank of Canada, just up 20 basis points. voice-verified

Once you put sort of the energy dynamic to one side, the inflationary pressures in Canada are not huge and nothing compared to what we're seeing here in Australia. voice-verified

And of course, the other component that we need to bear in mind is that Canada is technically in a technical recession. voice-verified

They had a nasty Q4 and a Q4 GDP reading, and then they also had a small contraction in Q1, which makes it a technical recession. voice-verified

So voice-verified

The dynamics for the Bank of Canada then is that you still see an economy that is struggling, but the inflationary pressures are very much driven by what's going on with energy prices, which plays to the view that it's very likely the Bank of Canada will stay on the sidelines and see through all the supply shock in terms of energy prices, unless you see evidence of secondary effects, which at the moment seem to be very subdued in Canada. voice-verified

Yeah. voice-verified

I think that that's one of the big questions. voice-verified

The manufacturing sector in the US was very strong. voice-verified

And not only we've seen Europe and the UK slowing, but actually going into contracturing mode when you look at the composite reading. voice-verified

So that contrast will be super important in terms of how markets perceive economies performing. voice-verified

And then Japan was also slowing too. voice-verified

So yeah, it will be interesting if we see an extension, if you like, of the same themes or maybe hopefully a bit of a reversal as well. voice-verified

Yes, so I suppose there's always a bit of interest in who is who and who is saying what within the ECB, given there's so many of them, and it's often... voice-verified

different views, so that will be important. voice-verified

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