Rodrigo Catril

speaker

7,882 appearances 78 recordings 1 series first heard Sep 2024 last heard 3 Sep

Rodrigo Catril’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 35 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 5.

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NAB Morning Call · Fed more certain, Gulf more unsettled · 8 Jun 2026 podcast

So that's added to that volatility. voice-verified

Um and then maybe maybe we'll start from like voice-verified

chronological order. voice-verified

So we've seen bond yields rise significantly. voice-verified

We've seen also the dollar being stronger uh because of this uncertainty, but also because of strong data in the US. voice-verified

So voice-verified

So if we break it down uh from Friday onwards, um uh we did have a very, very strong uh non-fine perils report. voice-verified

Um and that was, if you like, one of the first or was the first sort of trigger for for the movement in yields that we've and and and volatility in markets that we saw over the recent days. voice-verified

Um so just to to kind of unpack a little bit there, the um non fund perils uh bid expectations by 172,000 jobs uh I against eighty five expected. voice-verified

Um but there was also very strong revisions to the previous two months. voice-verified

So so that was kind of the big um the big number, if you like. voice-verified

Um when we look at the unemployment rate was unchanged at four point three, although arguably when you look at decimal places like Ray likes to look at, uh it was closer to four point two. voice-verified

Um but interesting, um as another measure of of m of the labor market, the average hour hourly earnings were in line with expectations at point three. voice-verified

Um so it's a bit of a debate in terms of what what are we learning from from the labour market. voice-verified

One, certainly more jobs have been created. voice-verified

If you remember not long ago there was a lot of discussion that that that breakeven number for jobs in in the US um was very close or very low, very close to zero. voice-verified

Um but yet uh we we've had significant uh prints uh and revisions in the last couple of months. voice-verified

So voice-verified

Sure. voice-verified

So uh so it's telling us that uh purely from a job creation perspective the the labor market is is recovering. voice-verified

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