Rory Sutherland
๐ค SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
There's a piece of paper.
with the Nvidia logo on it that said, we'll do up to a hundred billion.
And they put it out there and now they're like, where's my hundred billion?
It's going to be a little contentious.
You're implicitly saying you don't think it's the future.
So first of all, Harry, you said something that I just vehemently disagree with.
You said it's different than the multiple compression a while ago.
I actually think, as Jason said, it's actually the other side of the coin of the multiple contraction.
Things that are old and boring are going down, and a bunch of stuff in software has moved to old and boring.
Things that are new and exciting, the multiples are going up.
We're seeing a heightened dispersion here.
And I remember markets like this in 2010 and 11.
The high-growth companies were at 5x and the low-growth companies were at 3x.
And you literally, quote, unquote, remember something, didn't get paid for growth.
You now have a world where the low-growth companies are at 3x and the high-growth companies are at a 50x or 100x.
The dispersion for growth and perceived future has accelerated, I would argue, to a point that we very rarely see, maybe 99, 2000.
And so you look at something like Waymo, it's clearly one of the largest markets on earth.
I mean, people talk about AI displacement of white collar workers.
I think it's a bullshit discussion.
AI displacement of blue collar drivers is coming at us in real time.