Ryan Grim

And both sides do want an agreement.

So the thing is, well, they'll show up.

But then you have this attack on the ship.

And so that has thrown a real wild card.

Some in the U.S.

government feel like that the kind of IRGC baited them into this and that the U.S.

took the bait because there's real tension inside the Iranian government.

The IRGC is not monolithic but is now dominated by people who have a more hardline attitude.

And they think they need to extract more pain from the US and Israel.

that they're not done beating us up.

Whereas you've got some of the kind of civilian leadership that is saying, no, we're never gonna have better leverage than we have now.

So within that, if they can, it's a similar way that kind of Netanyahu approaches things to just kind of take action and like bomb something and just kind of start the war again.

So the IRGC kind of,

may have manufactured this incident.

And then the U.S.

takes the bait, attacks it.

No, I think it's very real.

Because I think that it has been there under the surface for decades.

But it was kept down by Common A, who was saying, no, we're going to take a more moderate, pragmatic, diplomatic approach.

We're not going ham on these people.