Ryan Grim

They don't stop.

The ceasing of fire.

And they arm these militias, these gangs that they send in to carry out action on their behalf.

But from Trump's perspective, everyone in the press is calling it a ceasefire.

Right.

But from the Iranians' perspective, they're like, that doesn't look like a...

It's not clear that we approach it as obvious.

It's been a long time without war for Lindsey Graham.

I think continuing to fight in Lebanon is probably the thing that works for them because they like to fight in Lebanon.

They're trying to seize all of this territory, which, as we've talked about, pushes them up past the control of the gas fields off the coast of Lebanon as well.

They're destroying all of the towns and villages.

They're claiming that they're going to draw a yellow line similar to Gaza, and that this is going to be theirs, plus then a buffer zone.

Then you have to move people further up to settle the buffer zone, and then you need a buffer zone above

the settlement and then on and on and on.

So I think they'll continue to do that.

And that creates the conditions to restart the war, though a lot of elements within Iran are fine with that.

So that's not what Trump wants, but it's not clear how much it matters what Trump wants.

Yeah, this is their Black Sea export facility.

So at the same time that the U.S.

once again lifted sanctions on Russian oil to try to keep oil prices down.