Ryan Miller

speaker
4,581 appearances 12 recordings 2 series first heard Mar 2026 last heard 10 Aug

Ryan Miller’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

Trend

recordings per month · last 12 months
4 · Jul OctJan 26AprJulnow

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 12 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 4.

Appearances

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He was right about the market and nearly wrong about his own fund. matched
And that's the lesson that changes everything for a GP. matched
Because here's the brutal truth about our business. matched
Being early is indistinguishable from being wrong when you have a fund clock. matched
Your investors don't grade you on your thesis. matched
They grade you on your marks. matched
And if your investment period expires or your fund life runs out, or your investors gate you or your fee runway dies before your date arrives, then you are wrong, not intellectually, economically, which is the only kind that pays. matched
So hold two things in your head at the same time. matched
One, find the date. matched
And two, make sure your capital can live until that date. matched
Now let's turn that into something you can actually run on Monday. matched
So here's my thesis. matched
And this is where I part ways with the herd. matched
You cannot short private markets. matched
There is no CDS on a mid-market buyout fund. matched
There's no put on a vintage. matched
There's no ticker. matched
To bet against. matched
So every hour a GP spends watching recession content is an hour spent studying a trade they're already structurally incapable of putting on. matched
But that does not mean you can't run Bury's method. matched
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