Saagar Enjeti

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So there was a pretty highly significant electoral results that we wanted to get to.

This was in a Texas state Senate race.

Let's go ahead and put this up there on the screen.

So this is a district that Trump won by 17 points back in 2024.

Now you have had a more than 30 point shift

Towards the Democrats, Democrat Taylor Raymond will defeat Trump-endorsed Lee Womsgans, weird names in this race, anyway, and flip the seat Republicans have carried this district for 35 years.

This particular county, it's one of the largest Republican counties in the entire country.

Sarah can probably tell you more about it in terms of the texture and the flavor of the area.

But Republicans are looking at this and going, holy shit, this level of a swing and in this particular place is a big, big problem.

Let me go ahead and put the next one up on the screen just to underscore what a big deal this was.

Not only do Democrats see this 30-point shift in Texas, but they did it while being outspent

Twenty to one.

So they were at a massive financial disadvantage and nevertheless romped.

And let's put the next one up on the screen.

Key to that victory was something like a 50 point swing among Latinos.

towards Democrats over, you know, over performance over how Harris did in 2024.

And Sarah, this is part of the freak out.

Texas just did this whole gerrymandering thing, assuming they could redraw districts in a way based on the percentages they were getting with Latinos in 2024.