Sagar

So what does he need?

He needs a bigger grand bargain.

And that's what the Abraham Accords also enables him to do.

The second thing that it does is it unilaterally disarms the entire Gulf away from the establishment of a Palestinian state.

Now, let's be real.

They never actually cared that much about a Palestinian state.

But to their people, it matters a lot.

Not to the governments, but to the actual citizens of these countries.

Now, whether they can vote or not doesn't matter.

Remember, there's still some popular agency in many of these Gulf monarchies.

So in this case, what he's trying to do is to get them to unilaterally disarm on the issue of Palestine and deliver Israel this massive diplomatic victory.

Because we're not just here about the UAE, which is the closest ally of Israel, but all

all of these other regional countries which do not have good relations with Israel, or they don't like Israel all that much, and they have their own domestic populations that they have to worry about.

So basically, the entire ceasefire now hinges actually on normalization of relations with Israel and these Gulf countries who are supposed to give this up even though it has nothing to do with Iran.

It's actually another reason why this ceasefire will fail if this is going to remain some top priority from the White House, and this is the second time that he's said it so far, so maybe we should take him at his word.

Yeah, I mean, the fact that the strikes are happening, look, it's not impossible.

And there has been a major give from Trump on the nuclear enrichment issue.

But when you're going to demand this Israel normalization of relations through the Abraham Accords, that just dramatically changes the entire process.

And again, it's so that he does not have to tell the world how he got humiliated.

Let's put A4 up here on the screen, just again to show you all how beholden to Israel this administration is acting, because now you have basically a background statement, a senior US official, we can do some tea leaves, I'm gonna guess from the State Department, who says the Trump administration would support