Sally Auld
speaker
5,823 appearances
57 recordings
1 series
first heard Sep 2024
last heard 17 Aug
Sally Auld’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
Trend
recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 28 in all, peaking in Aug 2026 with 3.
Appearances
Thanks very much, Phil.
Yes, that's right.
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It doesn't necessarily all hang together particularly well because we know, as you said, we had another night of hostilities in the region again.
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And Trump, when he was asked whether the US and Iran were returning to an all-out war, repeated, answered that he didn't know.
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So that's not exactly encouraging as well.
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But as you said, oil is down and bond yields have taken some comfort in that.
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And so sovereign bond markets have rallied.
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But I think the market is effectively saying that this is almost probably like the new normal where we're going to have, you know, what people call a sort of kinetic trend.
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situation in the Middle East, or particularly, you know, in the Strait of Hormuz, where there is this low-grade military action that goes on.
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And we will have days, you know, perhaps like Thursday, where not very many vessels get through the Strait of Hormuz.
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But broadly speaking...
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You know, Trump doesn't want an oil price that's well above $100 a barrel and presumably the Iranians don't want one that's, you know, well below $70 a barrel.
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And so you've sort of got this quasi equilibrium, I think, where, you know, oil is probably going to trade a $70 to $90 range.
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And, you know, we will have periods like we've had this week where escalation picks up and then calms down as oil price climbs.
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But it's, you know, I think markets are sort of saying to us that they're happy to live with this as long as things don't get really, really bad.
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Yeah, that was interesting.
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You know, so he basically saying that this is not an issue for us in terms of thinking about inflation.
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And so his comments actually said that, you know, of all the things to worry about with respect to the inflation outlook, the one that he's actually most concerned about and most focused on is, I guess, that lift in aggregate demand, which has been driven by the build out of artificial intelligence capability.
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And so
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He was sort of saying that's what he thinks is possibly one of the more important drivers of inflation in the US.
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Showing 501–520 of 5,823 · page 26 of 292
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