Sam Stein

I don't have that handy.

So the clean strike story.

I thought that was the most important one.

Obviously, Trump has a sort of preferred type of action when it comes to military campaigns, which is very narrow, very dramatic, lots of visuals, and very little follow-up.

I mean, time and again, he likes the active war, but not the war.

And I think that's basically what's happening here.

And the story was that he's being presented with options from the military, but none have said, oh, this could be quick, tactical, and you'll be done.

I think he has real...

reservations about doing anything that would involve a prolonged u.s operation that's just that i have no inside information but that's just my read on it and the other one was that the iranian regime decided to not execute this 26 year old protester that had been planned they were backing down it looked to me reading between lines like a very clear effort to try to you know

give the Trump administration some sort of fig leaf to say, okay, you know, hey, they've responded to our pressure.

We can at least pump the brakes a little bit.

And now, of course, you've noted the polymarket wagers, which convinced me there.

The only thing I would add is, you know, just the people protesting Biden on Gaza.

intellectually should have been protesting Trump on Gaza, right?

Trump was talking about it.

However, my point is the reason they didn't is because instinctively they know that Trump doesn't give a shit about them.

And they know that Biden probably does.

And though he was frustratingly slow and changing.

They should have.

But I'm just saying they know that Trump doesn't give a shit.