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Sarah Paine

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
8864 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

The Soviet economy was literally exhausted from this monstrous arms race, militarism, enemies with half the world.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

That's his take.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

And Gorbachev told the Central Committee, he said, look, we're encircled not by invisible armies, but by superior economies.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

And he often told people living this way any longer is impossible.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

So you can make a powerful argument.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

It's the Soviet economy that lost the Cold War.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

This gentleman, Alexis de Tocqueville, is very famous for writing a book about the last days of the French monarchy before the French Revolution overturned it.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

He also wrote something about democracy in America, both excellent books.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

But this one's come from the one about France, which Tocqueville observes, "...the most dangerous moment for a bad government is when it begins to reform."

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

Russians, of all political persuasions, they agree on at least one thing, and that is that Gorbachev's role in how the Cold War turned out was pivotal, that he played a very essential part.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

And Gorbachev made his decisions based on certain false assumptions.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

One of them was the irreversible direction of history.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

Gorbachev thought of history going always forward towards communism, never backwards to communism.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

capitalism.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

Of course, Eastern Europe took a U-turn, went straight back to capitalism.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

And here is Leonid Shibashin, who is a senior person in the KGB, their intelligence office.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

He said, the thought never occurred to the government that it's possible to withdraw from socialism.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

And if you think about

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

both communist theory and how imperialism works in practice, usually the mother country is more developed than whatever all the colonies are, right?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

Well, the Soviet Union was an inverted empire.