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Sarah Paine

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
8864 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

How does that work?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

The Yalta Agreement also stipulates that the status quo shall be maintained in Mongolia.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So then you have to look at, well, what was the status quo?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

It was called Russian sphere of influence in the north, Chinese continuing control in the south.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

that Mongolia, which had always been both those places, had been part of the Qing Empire, never been part of the Russian Empire.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And moreover, Stalin had already taken Tanatuvai in 1944, and it looks small on this map, but it's bigger than England, had lots of gold, which the Soviets had monetized long ago.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So if you add up

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

All the territory that the Russians took from the Chinese sphere of influence from the 1858 Treaty of Aigun and 1860 Treaty of Peking, fast forward to detaching outer Mongolia from the Chinese sphere of influence, here's what it really is.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

It's greater than all U.S.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

territory east of the Mississippi.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

This is not your normal land ground.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So talk about derailing somebody.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

That would do it.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

To be fair to the Russians, they did, albeit slowly, turn over all this Japanese stockpiled military equipment in Manchuria, turned it over to the communists.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And they also, albeit belatedly, they trained them how to use the equipment and also how to run the Manchurian railway system.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And the Chinese communists, as a rural peasant movement, how would they know how to do these things?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

They wouldn't.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And it allows...

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

this conventional aid and logistics of being able to move people around, it transforms the communists from a lightly armed guerrilla movement to a very heavily armed conventional forces capable for the showdown phase of the Chinese Civil War.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So, like the Huangpuo Military Academy, this is essential aid for the communist victory.