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Sarah Paine

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
8864 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So, neither the communists or the nationalists complain about the deindustrialization of Manchuria.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And the communists probably traded that industry for all the conventional aid that they got.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And the nationalists are trading that and also outer Mongolian independence for a promise from Stalin not to aid the communists, which a promise that he promptly breaks.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So Mao starts to figure out that something is up here.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So when he's on a roll in his offensives in the Civil War, there's really bitter fighting.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And the real movement in the last phase, the post-1940 phase of the Chinese Civil War, is in 1948.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

That year, Mao just moves.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And he is roaring down south, and he's about to get the Yangtze River.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And Stalin's like, hey, buddy.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Take a break at the Yangtze.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Don't exhaust yourself.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And Mao ignores it.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Because whereas Stalin might have wanted to keep nationalist rump states south of the Yangtze River, yielding a divided China in keeping with weakening your neighbor, Mao is not remotely interested in that.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And here's my 10th example, which is the Korean War.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

If you look at the Korean War, the first year is a war of movement.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

There's up and down, up and down the peninsula.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

It's unbelievable how much movement there is.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

But then it stalemates for the last two years.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And you think, well, what's going on?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Why don't they settle the war sooner?