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Sarah Paine

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
8864 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

All right, so all of these preceding explanations are naval explanations, spelled with an E, as in staring at one's own.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

They're all about what the United States did or didn't do.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

So let's get beyond the half-court tennis of Team America, and you need to look at the other side of the net.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

And this is where the Western guru for things military comes.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

Carl von Clausewitz emphasizes reciprocity in war and the interaction of both sides, that you're not going to do well unless you consider what the other side is doing.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

So I have given you some external explanations, and I'm going to do the internal ones.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

And here is Arnold Toynbee.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

He's one of the finest historians of the 20th century.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

He wrote a big

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

multi-multi-volume history of the West, which he argues that civilizations die from suicide, not by murder.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

So I've discussed the murder, what the United States tried to do to the Soviet Union.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

Now I'm going to talk about the suicide, what the Soviets did to themselves.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

And here is

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

Counter-argument number one, which the argument is the Soviet Union was an empire, and when that collapsed, that meant they lost the Cold War.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

During the Cold War, the Korean War and the Vietnam War, there was much fear in the West of this domino theory, and the idea is one country fell to communism, and then the next and next and next and next would fall to communism.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

Turns out the domino theory did not apply to capitalism.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

It applied to communism.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

because once the democratic contagion hit one Warsaw Bloc country in Eastern Europe, it spread to the others until it was a seething mess and they fell like dominoes.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

So in 1988, 89, there were all kinds of demonstrations in the Eastern Bloc, the Soviet Union.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ Why Russia Lost the Cold War

In the Soviet Union, they're for political freedoms.