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Sarah Paine

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
8864 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And they understood that war is easy to get into, hard to get out of, very unpredictable.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So for them, it was proxy wars.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And they loved it when the United States got into hot wars.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

What is not to like about the Korean War and the Vietnam War, where the United States just tied down and Americans tearing each other's eyes out about these things?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Great, great, great.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Russians stayed out of it until after Brezhnev's stroke,

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

which that's when they make the big boo-boo in Afghanistan.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And they go into Afghanistan, and then all of a sudden we have loads of fun giving Stinger missiles to the other sides, inflicting costs on the Russians.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And the person who wanted to get into Afghanistan is Yuri Andropov, who was not a veteran.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

The uniformed military of Russia said, don't go into Afghanistan.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Well, Andropov and friends ignored it, did their thing.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

If you look at Putin, he has risen to power on a diet of hot wars.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

He comes to power in the early phase of the Second Chechen War, where he levels the Chechen capital of Grozny and leaves most of the rest of Chechnya an environmental waste zone.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

But he sorts that one out.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And then he gets quite popular for his war with Georgia in 2008, where he detaches South Ossetian Asia from Georgia.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Now he wants to build a naval base in Abkhazia because he's having trouble with his base on Crimea.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And then when he eliminates term limits for himself in 2012, which isn't very popular in Russia, he solves that by going into Ukraine in 2014 and walks off with about 7% of Ukrainian territory at very little cost.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And Russians think that's great.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So if you look at these little stepping stones, this is the way continentalists look at it.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

You've got all these little places lined up.