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Scott Galloway

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
See mentions of this person in podcasts
48173 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

And also, I think the new opportunity

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

is in these PE, private credit, or what they call business development firms.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

So just to look at them, Apollo is trading at 14 times earnings while maintaining double-digit earnings and AUM growth.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

And that's how they make money is they deploy AUM and they collect two and 20 on it.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

So it's trading below market multiple of the S&P despite higher growth.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

is trading at about a third below kind of fair value estimates relative to its peers.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

It's got incredible fundraising and it's expanding its fee earnings.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

And essentially these prices reflect pessimism more than growth trajectory.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

And then Blue Owl, which was kind of the ground zero for this, has a 78% dividend yield.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

And the market appears to be, in my opinion, over-inflating the fears around private credit.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

Or put another way, I think the opportunity here, and I want to get your thoughts, is that there's a growth versus valuation mismatch, and that is all three of those companies are growing AUM and recurring fee revenue, and sector multiples compressed due to kind of private credit or liquidity fears.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

So I would argue, kind of to summarize,

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

Compressed multiples plus durable fee growth plus strong fundraising all adds up to what I think is undervalued stocks relative to the broader market.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

What were the biggest assumptions around some of the macro factors he's assuming here?

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

What you've done, and I want to use it as a jumping out point, you've been talking a lot about what does AI mean for your career?

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

And I've been thinking a lot about, okay, on a meta level, how should you be thinking about not only how you allocate your financial capital, and we talk a lot about where we think things are oversold and there's opportunity, as we do in the SaaS space and now the private credit space or the business development space.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

In terms of your own human capital, the way I would try and frame it is the following.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

My mom was a secretary and she oversaw the secretarial pool at the Southwestern University School of Law in downtown LA, where, by the way, I worked in the mailroom.

Prof G Markets
What the AI Scare Gets Wrong

And that's gone away.